TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.5b
24H VOL:
$271,200,656
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,640,614
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,922,627,141
420,368
Markets across
40,352
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,484
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 22, 9:33 PM EST
Kalshi
Two NHL hockey teams face off, with the result depending on the goal differential. The contest's outcome is decided by which team achieves a decisive lead in scoring.
All markets resolve based on the official game result for the Anaheim vs New Jersey NHL match scheduled for Oct 22, 2026. If New Jersey wins by more than 2.5 goals, the first market resolves to Yes. If New Jersey wins by more than 1.5 goals, the second market resolves to Yes. If Anaheim wins by more than 1.5 goals, the third market resolves to Yes. If Anaheim wins by more than 2.5 goals, the fourth market resolves to Yes. If the game is postponed but starts within 48 hours of the original time, all markets remain open and resolve based on the final result. If the game is cancelled or does not start within 48 hours, all markets resolve to a fair price.
Generally, prediction market odds tend to reflect the wisdom of the crowd, often differing from initial sportsbook lines due to the influence of public opinion and varying levels of information. Sportsbooks set lines to balance action, while this market aggregates individual predictions. Over time, prediction market prices often become more accurate forecasts than traditional odds, as they incorporate a wider range of perspectives. However, sportsbook odds can sometimes move in tandem with this market, especially as the event approaches and more information becomes available. It’s a useful exercise to compare the two.
On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous order book where traders buy and sell contracts representing their beliefs about the outcome of the Anaheim versus New Jersey spread. The price of these contracts fluctuates based on supply and demand, reflecting the collective probability assigned to each possible result. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. Traders are incentivized to provide accurate predictions, as profitable trades are rewarded. The current price indicates the market’s expectation of whether Anaheim will cover the spread against New Jersey, and can change rapidly as new information emerges or sentiment shifts.
This market resolves around Oct 23, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. Specifically, the final score difference between Anaheim and New Jersey will be compared to the spread to determine which side covered. The resolution will be based on the official game results as reported by the NHL. Traders holding contracts on the correct outcome will receive a payout, while those on the incorrect side will forfeit their stake. The final result will be publicly available on Kalshi following the conclusion of the game.
Several factors could influence this market before resolution. Any news regarding key player injuries for either Anaheim or New Jersey would likely cause significant movement. Changes in team performance, such as a winning or losing streak, could also shift market sentiment. Unexpected goalie changes or tactical adjustments announced by either team’s coach could also impact the spread. Even broader factors, like significant weather events potentially affecting travel, could play a role. Monitoring these signals will be crucial for anyone looking to trade in this market.