TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.1b
24H VOL:
$181,481,432
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,983,476,643
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,827,991,073
405,996
Markets across
40,551
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,368
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 22, 9:34 PM EST
Kalshi
This market tracks the outcome of an NHL hockey game between Anaheim and New Jersey, focusing on which team secures a victory. The event considers potential scheduling changes, ensuring that outcomes are determined based on the actual game result if played within a short window of the original date, or handled fairly if the game does not occur at all.
The event determines the winner of the NHL game between Anaheim and New Jersey originally scheduled for October 22, 2026. If either team wins the game as scheduled, the corresponding market resolves accordingly. Should the game be postponed but commence within 48 hours of the original start time, the market remains open to resolve based on the final official result. If the game is cancelled or fails to start within this 48-hour window, all markets resolve to a fair price, ensuring equitable treatment for all participants under varying scheduling circumstances.
Prediction market odds often differ from those offered by traditional sportsbooks due to the wisdom of the crowd effect. Sportsbooks set initial lines based on statistical models and expert analysis, while this market’s price is determined by the collective predictions of individual traders. This can lead to discrepancies, especially as new information emerges or public opinion shifts. It’s common to see prediction markets react more quickly to impactful news or late-breaking developments than sportsbooks, potentially offering a more up-to-date assessment of the likely outcome.
On Kalshi, this market is priced using a continuous double auction. Traders buy and sell contracts representing the probability of a particular outcome, and the price fluctuates based on supply and demand. As more people buy contracts indicating they believe a specific result will occur, the price increases, and vice versa. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. This dynamic pricing mechanism allows the market to aggregate information from a diverse range of participants and reflect their collective expectations about the event.
This market resolves around Oct 23, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The resolution will be based on the official result of the NHL game between Anaheim and New Jersey, as reported by official league sources. The market will determine whether a 'yes' or 'no' outcome is the correct result based on the final score and game statistics, ensuring a transparent and objective resolution process.
Several factors could influence the price of this market before resolution. Key player injuries on either the Anaheim or New Jersey teams would likely have a significant impact, as would any changes in coaching strategies or team performance. Unexpected news regarding team morale or off-ice issues could also shift trader sentiment. Finally, major shifts in public perception, perhaps driven by expert analysis or media coverage, could cause the market to react and adjust its pricing accordingly.