TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.8b
24H VOL:
$277,138,640
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,640,614
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,905,404,943
412,077
Markets across
39,838
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,526
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 11, 12:51 AM EST
Kalshi
The Anaheim vs Calgary NHL game on Oct 10 has spread markets centered on the winning margin. Markets include Calgary winning by over 1.5 or 2.5 goals, and Anaheim winning by over 1.5 or 2.5 goals. The result is determined by the goal differential of the winning team.
These markets resolve if Calgary wins by more than 1.5 or 2.5 goals, or Anaheim wins by more than 1.5 or 2.5 goals. Postponements within 48 hours allow the game to proceed as scheduled. If the game is cancelled or does not start within 48 hours of the original time, all markets resolve to a fair price.
Typically, prediction market odds reflect the 'wisdom of the crowd,' often differing from initial sportsbook lines due to the influence of public opinion and expert analysis. Sportsbooks initially set lines to balance betting action, while this market’s prices are driven purely by individuals willing to buy or sell based on their own predictions. Over time, the two may converge as new information becomes available, but discrepancies can persist, especially if the market identifies information not yet factored into sportsbook odds. It's common to see differences in implied probabilities between this market and traditional sportsbooks.
On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous order book where traders buy and sell contracts representing different outcomes of the Anaheim versus Calgary spread. The price of each contract fluctuates based on supply and demand. When more traders believe Calgary will cover the spread, the ‘yes’ contract price increases, and the ‘no’ contract price decreases, and vice versa. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. This dynamic pricing mechanism allows the market to reflect the collective intelligence of participants, offering a unique perspective on the event’s potential outcome. Traders are incentivized to provide accurate predictions, as profitable trades are rewarded.
This market resolves around Oct 11, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the final result of the Anaheim versus Calgary game is verifiable from credible public reporting. Resolution will be based on whether Calgary covers the spread as defined by the official game results. The market will determine a winning contract based on the official final score and point spread. Traders holding the winning contract will receive a payout based on the final market price at resolution. The outcome will be determined by the official game statistics.
Several factors could influence the price of this market before Oct 11, 2026. Key player injuries to either Anaheim or Calgary would likely cause significant movement, as would any major changes in team performance or coaching strategies. Unexpected news regarding team morale or off-ice issues could also impact trader sentiment. Furthermore, any shifts in public perception, perhaps driven by expert analysis or media coverage, could lead to changes in the market’s price. Late-breaking news regarding goaltender matchups or special teams performance could also be influential.