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$1,885,293,300

410,482

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40,213

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MATCHED EVENTS:

4,340

PLATFORM COVERAGE:

5

Polymarket:

37%

VS.

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63%

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Anadolu Efes vs. FC Bayern Munchen
kalshi
polymarket

What is the result of Anadolu Efes vs FC Bayern Munchen?

Volume:
$534,185

Bayern Munich

 - Kalshi

Bayern Munich - Kalshi

1W

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolved Oct 14, 2026

Closed: Oct 14, 3:45 PM EST

kalshi

Kalshi

View
Join Kalshi and score $25 for your first trade.
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
kalshi

Bayern Munich

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$222,807
N/A
N/A
$149,077
Settled
Yes
polymarket

O/U 165.5

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$4,677
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Anadolu Efes SK

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$172,450
N/A
N/A
$86,754
Settled
No
polymarket

Anadolu Efes vs. FC Bayern Munchen

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$125,679
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

Anadolu Efes (-6.5)

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$8,572
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
Total markets: 5

Intro

This market tracks whether Anadolu Efes or FC Bayern Munchen will win their Euroleague basketball game. Currently, the consensus probability of Anadolu Efes vs. FC Bayern Munchen: O/U 165.5 is 100.0%, aggregated from Kalshi and Polymarket. Resolution will be based on the official results reported by https://www.euroleaguebasketball.net/euroleague/. However, discrepancies exist between platform resolution dates—Polymarket resolves based on the game scheduled for October 14 at 1:30PM ET, while Kalshi references October 14, 2026—so be sure to monitor the game scheduled for October 14 at 1:30PM ET to see how the outcome is determined.

PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)

Divergence Detected

Issue: The Kalshi market references a game scheduled for October 14, 2026, while Polymarket refers to a game scheduled for October 14 of the current year. This represents a significant temporal divergence.Hero tip: Focus trading activity on the Polymarket market as it reflects the currently scheduled game. Avoid the Kalshi market due to the significant date discrepancy.

Critical divergence points:

  • Polymarket: Resolves based on the outcome of the game scheduled for October 14 at 1:30PM ET. If Anadolu Efes wins, the market resolves to "Anadolu Efes". If FC Bayern Munchen wins, the market resolves to "FC Bayern Munchen". Postponements delay resolution; cancellations result in a 50-50 split.
  • Kalshi: Resolves to 'Yes' if Anadolu Efes wins or Bayern Munich wins the game originally scheduled for October 14, 2026 at 1:30 PM EDT. This is a future event, significantly different from the near-term game referenced by Polymarket.
Our PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.

Polymarket

In the upcoming Euroleague basketball game, scheduled for October 14 at 1:30PM ET: If the Anadolu Efes win, the market will resolve to "Anadolu Efes". If the FC Bayern Munchen win, the market will resolve to "FC Bayern Munchen". If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve 50-50.

Kalshi

If Anadolu Efes SK wins the Bayern Munich vs Anadolu Efes SK men's professional EuroLeague basketball game originally scheduled for Oct 14, 2026 at 1:30 PM EDT, then the market resolves to Yes. If Bayern Munich wins the Bayern Munich vs Anadolu Efes SK men's professional EuroLeague basketball game originally scheduled for Oct 14, 2026 at 1:30 PM EDT, then the market resolves to Yes.

Frequently asked questions

On Polymarket and Kalshi, this dashboard tracks the likelihood of different outcomes in the EuroLeague basketball market between Anadolu Efes and FC Bayern Munchen. Currently, the aggregated volume across both platforms is $534,185, with $533,980 traded in the last 24 hours. This allows users to view a consensus view of predictions, though individual platforms may have differing probabilities. Polymarket currently favors Anadolu Efes, while Kalshi leans toward Bayern Munich at this time. The dashboard provides a centralized location to monitor the evolving predictions for this matchup.

Prediction market odds, like those found on Polymarket and Kalshi, often reflect the collective wisdom of a diverse group of traders, potentially offering a different perspective than traditional sportsbooks. Sportsbooks set odds based on their own models and aim to balance action on both sides, incorporating a profit margin. This market, however, is driven by individuals willing to put their capital behind their beliefs. While correlations exist, differences can arise due to varying information access, analytical approaches, and the incentive structures of each venue. It’s possible to find arbitrage opportunities by comparing odds across both types of platforms.

Several signals or events could significantly impact this market before it resolves. Any news regarding player injuries or suspensions for either Anadolu Efes or FC Bayern Munchen would likely cause price movement. Changes in team form, such as a surprising win or loss in a recent game, could also shift trader sentiment. Unexpected announcements about coaching changes or strategic adjustments could also influence the odds. Finally, broader news related to the EuroLeague competition itself, or even external factors like travel disruptions, could contribute to volatility in this market.