TOTAL VOLUME:

$154.4b

24H VOL:

$230,589,906

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2,984,028,936

OPEN INTEREST:

$1,885,293,300

410,482

Markets across

40,213

events

MATCHED EVENTS:

4,340

PLATFORM COVERAGE:

5

Polymarket:

37%

VS.

Kalshi:

63%

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Anadolu Efes vs. Denizli Basket
kalshi
polymarket

What is the result of Anadolu Efes vs. Denizli Basket?

Volume:
$17,765

Anadolu Efes SK

 - Kalshi

Anadolu Efes SK - Kalshi

1W

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolved Oct 11, 2026

Closed: Oct 11, 10:21 AM EST

kalshi

Kalshi

View
Join Kalshi and score $25 for your first trade.
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
kalshi

Anadolu Efes SK

View
100%
11%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$7,727
N/A
N/A
$5,335
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Anadolu Efes vs. Denizli Basket

View
100%
12%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$2,945
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Merkezefendi Belediyesi Denizli Basket

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$6,838
N/A
N/A
$5,530
Settled
No
polymarket

O/U 169.5

View
0%
48%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$254
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

Anadolu Efes (-12.5)

View
0%
55%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
Total markets: 5

Description

This prediction group concerns the outcome of a Turkey BSL basketball game between Anadolu Efes and Denizli Basket. The market resolves to either Anadolu Efes winning or Denizli Basket winning, with a contingency for postponement or cancellation.

PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)

Divergence Detected

Issue: Kalshi resolves to 'Yes' for either team winning, while Polymarket resolves to the winning team's name.Hero tip: Treat Kalshi as a binary win/loss market, not a team-specific prediction. Consider the implications for your trading strategy.

Critical divergence points:

  • Polymarket: The market resolves to the name of the winning team ('Anadolu Efes' or 'Denizli Basket').
  • Kalshi: The market resolves to 'Yes' if either team wins; it doesn't specify which team.
Our PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.

Polymarket

In the upcoming Turkey BSL game, scheduled for October 11 at 8:30AM ET: If the Anadolu Efes win, the market will resolve to "Anadolu Efes". If the Denizli Basket win, the market will resolve to "Denizli Basket". If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve 50-50. The result will be determined based on the final score including any overtime periods.

Kalshi

Markets resolve based on the winning team of the men's professional Turkey BSL basketball game between Merkezefendi Belediyesi Denizli Basket and Anadolu Efes SK, originally scheduled for October 11, 2026, at 8:30 AM EDT. If the game is postponed but begins within 48 hours of the scheduled start time, markets stay open and resolve using the official final result. If the game is cancelled or does not start within the 48-hour period, all markets resolve to a fair price. Kalshi states no official connection to the governing league, and all trademarks remain property of their respective owners.

Frequently asked questions

On Polymarket and Kalshi, this dashboard tracks the consensus view on the outcome of the Turkish basketball game. Currently, the aggregated volume across both platforms is $17,765, with $14,231 traded in the last 24 hours. This allows traders to see how the market is pricing the probability of different outcomes in the Anadolu Efes versus Denizli Basket matchup. The dashboard provides a unified view, though individual platform prices may vary. It’s a central location to monitor the evolving predictions for this event and understand the collective wisdom of the crowd regarding the Turkish basketball game.

Prediction market odds, like those found on Polymarket and Kalshi, often reflect a different kind of wisdom than traditional sportsbook odds. Sportsbooks set lines to balance action and incorporate a profit margin, while prediction markets are driven by individuals incentivized to accurately forecast the outcome. This can lead to discrepancies, as prediction markets may more efficiently incorporate information and reduce biases. However, both offer valuable insights. It's common to see prediction market probabilities diverge from sportsbook implied probabilities, especially as new information emerges leading up to this market’s resolution. Analyzing both can provide a more comprehensive view.

Polymarket and Kalshi can show different implied probabilities for the same outcome because of liquidity, fee structure, participant mix, and how each venue defines the contract. Prices on Polymarket and Kalshi may differ due to variations in trader demographics, liquidity, and market-specific rules. Each platform attracts a unique set of participants with varying levels of expertise and risk tolerance. Furthermore, the volume traded on each platform influences price discovery; lower volume can lead to greater price volatility. Currently, Polymarket currently favors Anadolu Efes SK wins at an implied probability we can derive from its price, while Kalshi leans toward a different outcome. These differences highlight the dynamic nature of prediction markets and the importance of considering multiple sources of information.