TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.5b
24H VOL:
$271,200,656
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,640,614
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,922,627,141
420,368
Markets across
40,352
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,484
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 10, 11:16 AM EST
Kalshi
This event tracks the outcome of a professional soccer match between Amsterdamsche FC and Hoek, focusing on determining whether Amsterdamsche FC, Hoek, or neither (a tie) secures a victory within the standard 90-minute regulation time plus stoppage time. The resolution depends solely on the match result as it stands after this period, excluding any extra time or penalty shootouts. If the match is canceled or significantly rescheduled, the outcome will be determined fairly according to the platform's guidelines.
The event resolves based on the result of the Amsterdamsche FC vs Hoek professional Tweede Divisie soccer match originally scheduled for October 10, 2026, after 90 minutes plus stoppage time. Three distinct markets correspond to possible outcomes: Amsterdamsche FC win, Hoek win, or a tie. Each market resolves to 'Yes' if its respective condition is met within regulation time. If the match ends in a tie after regulation, the 'Tie' market resolves to 'Yes.' Should the game be canceled or rescheduled to more than 48 hours beyond the original date, all markets will resolve to a fair price in accordance with the platform's rules. The event explicitly excludes extra time and penalty shootout results from consideration.
Prediction market odds often reflect the collective wisdom of a diverse group of traders, and can sometimes differ from those offered by traditional sportsbooks. Sportsbooks set their odds based on models and risk assessment, while this market is driven by individuals willing to put their capital behind their beliefs. It’s common to see discrepancies, especially when public opinion diverges from expert analysis. Examining these differences can provide insights into market sentiment and potential value opportunities, though it’s important to remember that both represent probabilities of the same underlying event.
This market resolves around Oct 10, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The resolution will be based on the official result of the Amsterdamsche FC vs Hoek match, as reported by a recognized sports data provider. The platform will verify the result against these sources to determine which outcome corresponds to the actual event result. Traders holding contracts for the winning outcome will receive a payout, while those holding contracts for losing outcomes will forfeit their investment.
Several factors could influence the price of this market before Oct 10, 2026. Any news regarding team injuries, changes in player lineups, or unexpected weather conditions could shift market sentiment. Significant shifts in public opinion, perhaps driven by expert analysis or media coverage, could also impact trading activity. Furthermore, large volume trades from individual participants or groups could create short-term price fluctuations. Monitoring these signals and analyzing their potential impact on the match outcome is key to understanding market movements.