TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.4b
24H VOL:
$235,918,089
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,028,936
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,884,820,873
413,109
Markets across
40,428
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,364
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 24, 11:18 AM EST
Kalshi
This event tracks the outcome of a professional soccer match between Amsterdamsche FC and Almere in the Tweede Divisie league. The result is determined solely by the final score after 90 minutes of regular play plus any stoppage time, excluding extra time or penalty shootouts. The market will resolve based on whether Amsterdamsche FC, Almere, or neither team (a tie) secures the victory within this timeframe.
The event resolves based on the result of the Amsterdamsche FC vs Almere professional Tweede Divisie soccer match originally scheduled for October 24, 2026, after 90 minutes plus stoppage time, excluding extra time or penalties. If Amsterdamsche FC wins, the 'Amsterdamsche FC' market resolves to Yes. If Almere wins, the 'Almere' market resolves to Yes. If the match ends in a tie, the 'Tie' market resolves to Yes. If the game is cancelled or rescheduled to more than 48 hours beyond the original date, all markets will resolve to a fair price in accordance with the rules. Kalshi is not affiliated with the Governing League, and all trademarks belong to their respective owners.
Prediction market odds often reflect the wisdom of the crowd, and can differ from those offered by traditional sportsbooks. Sportsbooks set initial lines based on their own models and often adjust them to balance their risk, while this market is driven purely by traders expressing their beliefs about the outcome. It's common to see discrepancies, especially before significant events or when new information emerges. Comparing the odds can highlight where the market believes there's value, or where sportsbooks might be over or underestimating the probability of a particular result.
On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous order book where traders can buy and sell contracts representing different outcomes. The price of a contract reflects the market's assessment of the probability of that outcome occurring. As more traders buy contracts for a specific result, the price increases, and the implied probability rises. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The market is entirely driven by supply and demand, meaning the price will fluctuate based on the collective actions of all participants. This dynamic pricing mechanism aims to create a highly accurate forecast of the event's outcome.
This market resolves around Oct 24, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The resolution will be based on the official result of the Amsterdamsche FC vs Almere match, as reported by a trusted sports data source. The platform will verify the result and settle all outstanding contracts accordingly. Traders holding contracts for the winning outcome will receive a payout, while those holding contracts for losing outcomes will forfeit their investment.
Several factors could influence the price of this market before Oct 24, 2026. Any news regarding team injuries, changes in coaching staff, or significant shifts in player form could all impact trader sentiment. Unexpected weather conditions on match day could also play a role. Furthermore, major tactical announcements or pre-match interviews from key players could sway the market. Even public opinion, as reflected in social media or sports news, can sometimes influence trading activity and cause price fluctuations.