TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.7b
24H VOL:
$279,496,801
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,640,614
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,923,931,766
416,910
Markets across
40,107
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,571
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
América FC
- Polymarket
América FC - Polymarket
1W
News
Positive
Negative
Neutral
Hover marker for details
Vol.
·
Resolves Nov 14, 2026
Time left: 11d:14h:13m
$
In the upcoming Brazil Serie B game between América FC and Avaí FC, originally scheduled for Saturday, November 14, 2026 at 2:30 PM ET (as of creation of the first market related to the event):
In the upcoming Brazil Serie B game between América FC and Avaí FC, originally scheduled for Saturday, November 14, 2026 at 2:30 PM ET (as of creation of the first market related to the event):
Prediction market odds often reflect the collective wisdom of a diverse group of traders, potentially offering a different perspective than traditional sportsbooks. Sportsbooks set their lines based on statistical models and expert analysis, while this market incorporates a broader range of information and opinions. Discrepancies can arise due to differing risk assessments, biases, or access to unique information. It’s common to see prediction markets move independently of sportsbook odds, especially as new information emerges closer to the event date. Comparing the two can provide a more comprehensive view of potential outcomes.
On Polymarket, this market is priced through a continuous auction mechanism where traders buy and sell shares representing their belief in the probability of a specific outcome. The price of a share directly corresponds to the implied probability of that outcome occurring. As more traders buy shares, the price increases, signaling growing confidence. On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The current implied probability of América FC winning, as reflected by the share price, is 40.5%. This dynamic pricing ensures the market reflects the most up-to-date collective assessment of the event’s likely result.
This market resolves around Nov 14, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The resolution will be based on the official result of the América FC vs. Avaí FC match, as reported by a recognized sports data provider. The platform will verify the result against these sources to determine which outcome corresponds to the final score. Traders holding shares in the winning outcome will be paid out according to the market’s pricing at the time of resolution, while those holding shares in losing outcomes will forfeit their investment.
Several factors could influence the price of this market before Nov 14, 2026. Any news regarding player injuries, team lineups, or changes in coaching staff for either América FC or Avaí FC could significantly shift expectations. Unexpected weather conditions at the match venue could also play a role. Furthermore, broader shifts in public sentiment, as reflected by media coverage and expert analysis, can impact trading activity. Major upsets in other related matches or tournaments could also indirectly influence the market as traders reassess their overall risk appetite.