TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.4b
24H VOL:
$235,918,089
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,028,936
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,884,820,873
413,109
Markets across
40,428
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,364
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
América de Cali (-1.5)
- Polymarket
América de Cali (-1.5) - Polymarket
1W
News
Positive
Negative
Neutral
Hover marker for details
Vol.
·
Resolves Nov 7, 2026
Time left: 05d:02h:47m
$
More markets for the Colombia Primera A game, scheduled for November 7 at 8:15 PM ET.
More markets for the Colombia Primera A game, scheduled for November 7 at 8:15 PM ET.
Prediction market odds often reflect the collective wisdom of a diverse group of forecasters, potentially differing from those offered by traditional sportsbooks. Sportsbooks set lines based on their own models and aim to balance action on both sides, while this market is driven purely by what traders are willing to pay for shares representing each outcome. This can lead to discrepancies, especially when public sentiment strongly diverges from expert analysis. It’s common to see prediction markets incorporate information and adjust faster to new developments than sportsbooks, though this isn’t always the case.
On Polymarket, this market is priced through a continuous auction mechanism where traders buy and sell shares representing their belief in the likelihood of each outcome. The price of a share directly corresponds to the implied probability of that outcome occurring. As more people buy shares in a particular outcome, its price increases, and the implied probability rises. On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The market’s price reflects the aggregated sentiment of all participants, creating a dynamic and real-time assessment of the potential results of the Cali derby. The current volume suggests significant interest in this local contest.
This market resolves around Nov 8, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. Resolution will be based on the official result of the América de Cali versus AD Cali match, as reported by a recognized sports authority. The market will determine which outcome – a win for either team or a draw – actually occurred during the game. Traders who hold shares in the correct outcome will be entitled to a payout based on the final share price at the time of resolution. This provides a clear and objective determination of the market’s outcome.
Several factors could influence trading activity and shift the odds in this market. Any news regarding key player injuries or suspensions for either América de Cali or AD Cali would likely have a significant impact. Changes in team form, tactical adjustments announced by the managers, or even weather conditions on match day could also move the market. Unexpected announcements regarding fan attendance or security measures might also play a role, as could any controversies surrounding the teams or players in the lead-up to the game. These events can all alter perceptions of each team’s chances of winning.