TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.3b
24H VOL:
$228,458,490
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,028,936
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,879,276,037
410,833
Markets across
40,345
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,363
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Reg Time: Amorebieta
- Kalshi
Reg Time: Amorebieta - Kalshi
1W
News
Positive
Negative
Neutral
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Vol.
·
Resolves Nov 4, 2026
Time left: 02d:00h:14m
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This market centers on predicting the outcome of a professional Copa del Rey soccer match between Amorebieta and UD Logrones, focusing solely on the result after the standard 90 minutes plus stoppage time. It allows participants to speculate on whether a specific team will win during regulation time or if the match will end in a draw within that timeframe. Outcomes are determined exclusively by the final score at the end of regulation, with no consideration for extra time or penalty shootouts.
The event determines the winner of the Amorebieta vs UD Logrones professional Copa del Rey soccer game scheduled for November 4, 2026, based exclusively on the result after 90 minutes plus stoppage time. Three distinct outcomes are possible: a win for Amorebieta, a win for UD Logrones, or a tie. If the match concludes with either team securing a victory within regulation time, the corresponding market resolves to Yes. Should the game end in a tie after regulation, the Tie market resolves to Yes. In the event the match is cancelled or rescheduled to more than 48 hours beyond the original date, all markets will resolve to a fair price following Kalshi's standard procedures. The resolution strictly adheres to regulation time results, excluding any outcomes from extra time or penalty shootouts.
Prediction market odds often reflect the wisdom of the crowd, potentially offering a different perspective than traditional sportsbook odds. Sportsbooks set lines based on their own models and risk management, while this market aggregates the beliefs of many individual traders. Discrepancies can arise due to differing information, biases, or simply variations in opinion. It's common to see prediction markets move independently of sportsbook lines, especially as new information becomes available or as the event draws closer. Comparing the two can be a useful exercise for informed decision-making.
On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous order book, where traders buy and sell contracts representing their belief about the probability of a particular outcome. The price of a contract ranges from 0 to 100, representing the implied probability of the event occurring. As more traders buy contracts predicting a win for one team, the price increases, and vice versa. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. This dynamic pricing mechanism allows the market to quickly incorporate new information and reflect the collective intelligence of the traders.
This market resolves around Nov 4, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the result of the Amorebieta vs UD Logrones match is verifiable from credible public reporting. Specifically, the team that wins the regulation time moneyline will determine the outcome. The platform will utilize publicly available sources to verify the final score and declare a winner. No further action is required from traders after the event concludes; the platform handles the settlement process automatically based on the verified result.
Several factors could influence the price of this market before the Nov 4, 2026 resolution. Any news regarding team injuries, changes in coaching staff, or even weather conditions could shift trader sentiment. Unexpected lineup announcements or reports on player form are also likely to cause price fluctuations. Furthermore, significant betting activity in traditional sportsbooks could spill over into the prediction market, impacting the price. Monitoring these signals can provide insights into potential market movements and inform trading strategies.