TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.3b
24H VOL:
$228,458,490
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,028,936
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,879,276,037
410,833
Markets across
40,345
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,363
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 29, 5:16 PM EST
Kalshi
This market tracks the outcome of a professional Copa del Rey soccer match between Amorebieta and UD Logrones, focusing solely on the result after 90 minutes plus stoppage time. It determines whether either team wins in regulation time or if the match ends in a tie, excluding any outcomes from extra time or penalty kicks.
The event resolves based on the result of the Amorebieta vs UD Logrones professional Copa del Rey soccer game scheduled for October 28, 2026, after 90 minutes plus stoppage time. If Amorebieta wins, the 'Amorebieta' market resolves to Yes. If UD Logrones wins, the 'UD Logrones' market resolves to Yes. If the match ends in a tie, the 'Tie' market resolves to Yes. If the game is cancelled or rescheduled to more than 48 hours beyond the original date, the markets will resolve to a fair price as determined by the rules. The resolution exclusively considers regulation time, with no account for extra time or penalty shootouts.
Prediction market odds often reflect the collective wisdom of a diverse group of traders, potentially differing from sportsbook odds which are set by professional oddsmakers. Sportsbooks may incorporate factors like public betting percentages and risk management strategies, while this market relies on individuals’ independent assessments of the likely outcome. It's common to see discrepancies, especially before significant events or when new information emerges, as traders adjust their positions based on their own analysis of the Amorebieta vs UD Logrones match.
On Kalshi, this market is priced using a continuous double auction. Traders buy and sell contracts representing the probability of Amorebieta winning in regulation time. As more people buy 'yes' contracts, the price increases, indicating a higher perceived probability of that outcome. Conversely, selling 'yes' contracts drives the price down. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The price reflects the current consensus view of all participants trading on Kalshi, making it a dynamic representation of expectations for the match.
This market resolves around Oct 28, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the result of the Amorebieta vs UD Logrones match is verifiable from credible public reporting. The resolution will be based on which team wins the regulation time moneyline – meaning the team that wins the match excluding any potential overtime or penalty shootouts. The platform will verify the official result to determine whether the 'yes' or 'no' outcome will be triggered, and contracts will be settled accordingly.
Several factors could influence trading activity in this market before Oct 28, 2026. Any news regarding player injuries, team formations, or changes in coaching staff for either Amorebieta or UD Logrones would likely cause price fluctuations. Unexpected weather conditions or even significant pre-match analysis from sports commentators could also shift trader sentiment. Furthermore, large volume trades from individual participants could temporarily impact the price, creating opportunities for arbitrage or speculative trading in this market.