TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.3b
24H VOL:
$228,458,490
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,028,936
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,879,276,037
410,833
Markets across
40,345
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,363
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Amorebieta advances
- Kalshi
Amorebieta advances - Kalshi
1W
News
Positive
Negative
Neutral
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Vol.
·
Resolves Nov 4, 2026
Time left: 02d:00h:45m
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This market focuses on the outcome of a soccer match between Amorebieta and UD Logrones in the first round of the Copa del Rey. It tracks which team will progress to the next stage following their head-to-head contest. The result reflects the competitive performance of both clubs in this specific tournament fixture.
The event consists of two mutually exclusive primary rules determining advancement in the Copa del Rey’s first round. If Amorebieta progresses past UD Logrones in their tie, the 'Amorebieta advances' outcome resolves positively. Conversely, if UD Logrones advances past Amorebieta, the 'UD Logrones advances' outcome resolves positively. Both rules apply specifically to the November 4 match between these teams and resolve based solely on which club qualifies for subsequent rounds. Secondary rules clarify that any references to FIFA or the FIFA World Cup are used descriptively and do not imply endorsement or affiliation with FIFA or Kalshi.
Prediction market odds often reflect the collective wisdom of a diverse group of traders, and can differ from those offered by traditional sportsbooks. Sportsbooks set their lines based on statistical models and expert analysis, while this market aggregates the views of many individuals. Discrepancies can arise due to differing information, biases, or simply varying interpretations of the same data. It's common to see prediction market odds move independently of sportsbook odds, especially as new information becomes available or as the event draws closer. Examining both can provide a more comprehensive view of potential outcomes.
On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous order book where traders buy and sell contracts representing different outcomes. The price of a contract reflects the market’s assessment of the probability of that outcome occurring. As more traders buy a contract, its price increases, and vice versa. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. This dynamic pricing mechanism allows the market to quickly incorporate new information and adjust probabilities accordingly. The current price reflects the combined expectations of all participants trading on Kalshi.
This market resolves around Nov 4, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The resolution will be based on the official result of the Amorebieta vs UD Logrones match, as reported by a recognized sports data provider. The platform will verify the result against these sources to determine the winning outcome. Traders holding contracts corresponding to the correct outcome will receive a payout, while those holding contracts on losing outcomes will not. This ensures a transparent and objective resolution process.
Several factors could influence trading activity and shift the odds in this market. Any news regarding team injuries, changes in coaching staff, or unexpected weather conditions could all impact the perceived probability of different outcomes. Significant shifts in public sentiment, reflected in betting patterns or expert analysis, could also drive price movements. Furthermore, in-match events, such as early goals or red cards, could cause rapid adjustments to the market as traders react to unfolding circumstances. Monitoring these signals can provide insights into potential market movements.