TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.4b
24H VOL:
$235,918,089
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,028,936
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,884,820,873
413,109
Markets across
40,428
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,364
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 28, 11:19 PM EST
Kalshi
This event tracks the total number of goals scored in a professional soccer match between America and Tijuana. The outcome depends on whether the combined goals exceed specific thresholds. It reflects the offensive performance of both teams within the standard match timeframe.
The event resolves based on the total number of goals scored by both teams in the America vs Tijuana professional Liga MX soccer match scheduled for October 28, 2026. All markets resolve after 90 minutes plus stoppage time, with extra time and penalty kicks excluded from the count. Each market corresponds to a different threshold of goals: 0.5, 1.5, 2.5, 3.5, 4.5, and 5.5. If the actual number of goals exceeds the specified threshold for a given market, that market resolves to Yes; otherwise, it resolves to No. All markets are independent, and each has its own resolution criterion based on the corresponding goal threshold. Kalshi disclaims any official affiliation with the Governing League, and all trademarks remain the property of their respective owners.
Typically, prediction market odds reflect the wisdom of the crowd and can differ from traditional sportsbook odds. Sportsbooks often set initial lines influenced by factors like team news and public perception, while this market evolves based on continuous trading and information flow. If sportsbook odds heavily favor one outcome, you might see a greater discrepancy with this market, as prediction markets tend to be more sensitive to nuanced information and less prone to biases found in traditional betting. It’s common to see prediction markets offer more competitive odds, especially as the event approaches.
On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous order book, where traders buy and sell contracts representing different total goal outcomes for the America vs Tijuana match. The price of each contract reflects the market’s collective probability of that outcome occurring. As more traders buy contracts for a specific outcome, the price increases, indicating a higher perceived likelihood. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. This dynamic pricing mechanism allows the market to quickly incorporate new information and adjust expectations as the event draws nearer, creating a real-time assessment of potential results.
This market resolves around Oct 29, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the final score of the America vs Tijuana match is verifiable from credible public reporting. The total goals scored in regulation time, including any added time, will determine the winning contract. The resolution will be based on official match data, ensuring an objective and transparent outcome. Traders holding contracts corresponding to the correct total goals will receive a payout, while those with losing contracts will forfeit their investment. The final result will be publicly available on Kalshi.
Several factors could influence this market before the match concludes. Any news regarding key player injuries or suspensions for either America or Tijuana would likely cause significant shifts in the market. Changes in weather conditions, such as heavy rain or strong winds, could also impact expectations for a high-scoring game. Late-breaking news about team formations or tactical adjustments might also move the market. Even public sentiment, reflected in social media discussions and expert analysis, can contribute to price fluctuations as traders react to new information and adjust their predictions.