TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.3b
24H VOL:
$228,458,490
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,028,936
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,879,276,037
410,833
Markets across
40,345
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,363
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 29, 1:00 AM EST
Kalshi
This market tracks whether the America vs Tijuana professional Liga MX soccer game will end in a tie after 90 minutes plus stoppage time. Currently, “Tie is the result” is trading at 56.0% on Kalshi, while “America wins” is at 37.0%. The market will resolve based on the outcome of the game as reported by the official Liga MX results. Keep an eye on the match itself, as the market resolves to Yes if America wins the game originally scheduled for Oct 28, 2026, after 90 minutes plus stoppage time, with final resolution expected by October 29, 2026.
The markets resolve based on the full-time result of the America vs Tijuana professional Liga MX soccer match scheduled for October 28, 2026, after 90 minutes plus stoppage time, excluding extra time or penalty kicks. A 'Yes' outcome in the America market occurs if America secures a victory within regular time; a 'Yes' in the Tijuana market occurs if Tijuana wins within regular time; and a 'Yes' in the Tie market occurs if the game concludes with an equal score after regular time. If the match is cancelled or rescheduled to more than 48 hours beyond the original date, all markets will resolve to a fair price, ensuring equitable treatment for all participants. The markets are independent of any league affiliations, and all trademarks remain property of their respective owners.
Prediction market odds often reflect the collective wisdom of informed traders, and can differ from those offered by traditional sportsbooks. Sportsbooks set initial lines to balance action, while this market's odds are driven by actual money changing hands. If a significant number of traders believe a sportsbook is mispricing an outcome, they can express that view by trading on Kalshi, potentially causing the odds to diverge. It’s common to see prediction markets move more quickly to incorporate new information than sportsbooks, especially regarding factors not easily quantifiable.
On Kalshi, this market is priced using a continuous double auction. Traders buy and sell contracts representing different outcomes of the America vs Tijuana match, and the prices of these contracts determine the implied probabilities. As more traders participate, the prices converge to reflect the collective belief about the likelihood of each outcome. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The price of a contract represents the cost to take a position on a specific result, and is constantly fluctuating based on supply and demand. This dynamic pricing mechanism allows for a highly liquid and informative market.
This market resolves around Oct 29, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The resolution will be based on the official result of the America vs Tijuana match, as reported by a recognized sports authority. Traders who correctly predicted the outcome will be paid out according to the final contract prices on Kalshi. It’s important to monitor the event closely as the resolution date approaches to understand any potential factors that could influence the final result.
Several signals could move this market before Oct 29, 2026. Any news regarding injuries to key players on either team would likely have a significant impact. Changes in team form, tactical adjustments, or even weather conditions could also influence trader sentiment. Unexpected announcements related to the match, such as a change in venue or referee, could also cause price fluctuations. Furthermore, large trades on Kalshi themselves can create momentum and shift the odds, as other traders react to the new information implied by those trades.