TOTAL VOLUME:

$154.6b

24H VOL:

$333,432,169

24H TRANSACTIONS:

2,984,640,614

OPEN INTEREST:

$1,971,286,090

419,492

Markets across

40,634

events

MATCHED EVENTS:

4,654

PLATFORM COVERAGE:

5

Polymarket:

37%

VS.

Kalshi:

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America vs Pachuca: Spread
kalshi

What is the result of America vs Pachuca?

Volume:
$315,116

America wins by more than 1.5 goals

 - Kalshi

America wins by more than 1.5 goals - Kalshi

1W

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolved Oct 25, 2026

Closed: Oct 25, 11:03 PM EST

kalshi

Kalshi

View
Join Kalshi and score $25 for your first trade.
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
kalshi

America wins by more than 1.5 goals

View
0%
36%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$196,456
N/A
N/A
$118,405
Settled
No
kalshi

Pachuca wins by more than 1.5 goals

View
0%
3%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$65,635
N/A
N/A
$30,053
Settled
No
kalshi

America wins by more than 2.5 goals

View
0%
19%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$42,041
N/A
N/A
$29,538
Settled
No
kalshi

Pachuca wins by more than 2.5 goals

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$10,985
N/A
N/A
$7,630
Settled
No
Total markets: 4

Description

This event tracks the outcome of a professional soccer match between America and Pachuca, focusing on the margin of victory for either team. The result is determined by the final score after regular time, excluding any extra time or penalty shootouts. Bets are settled based on whether the winning team achieves a specified goal differential.

Kalshi

The event resolves based on the outcome of the America vs Pachuca professional Liga MX soccer match scheduled for October 25, 2026, after 90 minutes plus stoppage time, excluding extra time or penalties. Four distinct outcome thresholds are evaluated: America winning by more than 2.5 goals, America winning by more than 1.5 goals, Pachuca winning by more than 1.5 goals, and Pachuca winning by more than 2.5 goals. The market resolves to 'Yes' for the specific rule that matches the actual goal differential in favor of the winning team. If none of these conditions are met, all markets resolve to 'No'. Kalshi explicitly disclaims any official affiliation with the governing league, and all trademarks remain the property of their respective owners.

Frequently asked questions

On Kalshi, the dashboard for the America vs Pachuca match tracks the current odds, price history, and 24-hour trading volume. You can see how the implied probability of different outcomes shifts over time as traders buy and sell contracts. Currently, the total volume for this market is $315,116, with $303,625 traded in the last 24 hours. This provides a real-time view of where the crowd stands on the likely result of the game, offering insight beyond traditional pre-match analysis.

Typically, prediction market odds reflect the wisdom of the crowd and can differ from sportsbook odds, which are often set by analysts. Sportsbooks may incorporate factors like public betting bias or promotional offers, while this market aggregates the beliefs of many individual traders. If a significant discrepancy exists, it could indicate that the market perceives a different probability of an outcome than sportsbooks do, potentially revealing undervalued or overvalued opportunities. It's important to remember that both represent probabilities, but are derived through different mechanisms.

On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous order book where traders buy and sell contracts representing different outcomes. The price of a contract reflects the market's current assessment of the probability of that outcome occurring. As more traders buy into a particular outcome, its price increases, and vice versa. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The market depth and trading activity directly influence the price, creating a dynamic and responsive system for forecasting the result of the America vs Pachuca match.

This market resolves around Oct 26, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The resolution will be based on the final result of the America vs Pachuca match, specifically the spread as determined by official sources. The platform will then verify the result against these sources to determine which contracts will pay out and at what value. Traders holding contracts corresponding to the correct outcome will receive a payout based on the final market price.

Several factors could influence this market leading up to Oct 26, 2026. Any news regarding key player injuries, changes in team formations, or even weather conditions could shift trader sentiment. Unexpected announcements about coaching decisions or significant changes in team performance during other matches could also impact the market. Furthermore, large volume trades from informed traders might signal new information or a change in outlook, causing the price to adjust quickly. Monitoring these signals can help understand the evolving probabilities within this market.