TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.7b
24H VOL:
$279,496,801
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,640,614
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,923,931,766
416,910
Markets across
40,107
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,571
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 25, 11:06 PM EST
Kalshi
This market tracks whether Pachuca will win the America vs Pachuca professional Liga MX soccer game after 90 minutes plus stoppage time. Currently, Kalshi gives Pachuca a 78.0% probability of winning, while a tie is priced at 20.0%. The market will resolve based on the outcome of the match as determined by the official result. Keep an eye on the match itself, scheduled for October 25, 2026, as the result after 90 minutes plus stoppage time will dictate the market’s resolution by the estimated resolution date of 2026-10-26.
The markets resolve based on the full-time result of the America vs Pachuca professional Liga MX soccer match scheduled for October 25, 2026, after 90 minutes plus stoppage time, excluding extra time or penalty shootouts. A 'Yes' outcome occurs if the specified team wins the match within regular time; a 'Tie' market resolves to 'Yes' if the match concludes with an equal score. Should the game be cancelled or rescheduled to more than 48 hours beyond the original date, all markets will resolve to a fair price as determined per the platform's guidelines. The platform explicitly disclaims any official affiliation with the governing league or its entities.
Prediction market odds often differ from those found at sportsbooks, reflecting the ‘wisdom of the crowd’ versus the assessments of professional oddsmakers. Sportsbooks typically set initial lines to balance action on both sides, while this market allows traders to freely express their beliefs, potentially leading to more accurate probabilities. It’s common to see discrepancies, especially as new information emerges or public sentiment shifts. Comparing these odds can be a useful exercise for informed decision-making, though it’s important to remember they represent different perspectives on the same event.
On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous order book, where traders buy and sell contracts representing their belief in the probability of a particular outcome. The price of a contract ranges from 0 to 100, representing a 0% to 100% chance of the event occurring. As more traders buy contracts, the price increases, and vice versa. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. This dynamic pricing mechanism reflects the collective intelligence of the market participants, constantly adjusting to new information and changing perspectives on the America vs Pachuca match.
This market resolves around Oct 26, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The resolution will be based on the official result of the America vs Pachuca match, as reported by a recognized sports authority. The market will determine which outcome—America winning, Pachuca winning, or a draw—is the actual result of the game. Traders who correctly predicted the outcome will receive a payout based on the final market price at resolution.
Several factors could influence the price of this market leading up to Oct 26, 2026. Any news regarding team injuries, changes in coaching staff, or even weather conditions could shift trader sentiment. Unexpected performance in preceding matches, or significant tactical adjustments announced by either team, would also likely cause movement. Public opinion, as reflected in sports news and analysis, can also play a role, as can large-volume trades on Kalshi which could indicate informed activity. Monitoring these signals can help understand potential price fluctuations.