TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.4b
24H VOL:
$245,801,863
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,028,936
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,902,097,102
417,059
Markets across
40,178
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,415
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 11, 1:12 AM EST
Kalshi
The spread betting market for the America vs Monterrey game focuses on the margin of victory. Bettors can assess whether America will win by a certain number of goals or if Monterrey will win by a specified margin.
These markets resolve based on whether America wins by more than 2.5 or 1.5 goals, or whether Monterrey wins by more than 1.5 or 2.5 goals, in the professional Liga MX soccer game originally scheduled for Oct 10, 2026, after 90 minutes plus stoppage time (excluding extra time and penalties). If the condition is met for a given market, it resolves to Yes; otherwise, it resolves to No. Kalshi disclaims any official affiliation with the Governing League, and all trademarks remain property of their respective owners.
Typically, prediction market odds reflect the wisdom of the crowd, often differing from initial sportsbook lines. Sportsbooks set odds based on their own models and aim to balance action on both sides, while this market allows anyone to trade based on their own information and beliefs. As more information becomes available – such as team news or injury reports – the prices here may move differently than those offered by sportsbooks. It’s common to see prediction markets more accurately reflect true probabilities as the event approaches, though discrepancies can still occur.
On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous order book, meaning traders are constantly buying and selling contracts. The price of a contract represents the probability of that outcome occurring, scaled to a value between 0 and 100. As more people buy contracts for a particular outcome, the price increases, and vice versa. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The platform uses a market maker system to ensure there are always bids and asks available, facilitating trading and price discovery for the America vs Monterrey match.
This market resolves around Oct 11, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the result of the America vs Monterrey match is verifiable from credible public reporting. The resolution will be based on the official result of the match, including any potential overtime or penalty shootouts, as determined by the governing sporting body. The final price of the contracts will reflect the actual outcome, and contract holders will be paid out accordingly based on their positions in this market.
Several factors could influence trading activity and move prices in this market. Key events include any news regarding player injuries or suspensions for either America or Monterrey, changes in team form based on recent matches, and even weather conditions that could affect the game. Unexpected announcements about coaching changes or significant tactical shifts could also impact market sentiment. Major shifts in public opinion, reflected in polls or expert analysis, might also lead to price adjustments in this market.