TOTAL VOLUME:

$154.7b

24H VOL:

$279,496,801

24H TRANSACTIONS:

2,984,640,614

OPEN INTEREST:

$1,923,931,766

416,910

Markets across

40,107

events

MATCHED EVENTS:

4,571

PLATFORM COVERAGE:

5

Polymarket:

37%

VS.

Kalshi:

63%

BETA
Dashboards
Tour
All
Sports
America FC vs Ferroviario: Spread
kalshi

What is the result of America FC vs Ferroviario?

Volume:
$4,255

America FC wins by more than 1.5 goals

 - Kalshi

America FC wins by more than 1.5 goals - Kalshi

1W

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolved Oct 17, 2026

Closed: Oct 17, 7:26 PM EST

kalshi

Kalshi

View
Join Kalshi and score $25 for your first trade.
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
kalshi

America FC wins by more than 1.5 goals

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$2,325
N/A
N/A
$1,923
Settled
No
kalshi

Ferroviario wins by more than 1.5 goals

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$1,330
N/A
N/A
$1,319
Settled
No
kalshi

America FC wins by more than 2.5 goals

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$300
N/A
N/A
$300
Settled
No
kalshi

Ferroviario wins by more than 2.5 goals

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$300
N/A
N/A
$300
Settled
No
Total markets: 4

Description

This market evaluates various winning margins for America FC against Ferroviario in their Brasileiro Serie B soccer match. Different sub-markets require America FC to win by more than 2.5 or 1.5 goals, while others require Ferroviario to win by more than 1.5 or 2.5 goals. The outcome depends solely on the goal differential within regular time plus stoppage time.

Kalshi

All markets resolve based on the outcome of the America FC vs Ferroviario Brasileiro Serie B soccer game scheduled for Oct 17, 2026, after 90 minutes plus stoppage time, excluding extra time or penalties. Each market has a specific winning margin threshold: America FC must win by more than 2.5 or 1.5 goals, or Ferroviario must win by more than 1.5 or 2.5 goals for a 'Yes' resolution. Kalshi disclaims any affiliation with the governing league, and all trademarks belong to their respective owners.

Frequently asked questions

Prediction market odds often reflect the collective wisdom of a diverse group of participants, potentially offering a different perspective than traditional sportsbook odds. Sportsbooks set their lines based on models and proprietary information, while this market is driven by individuals trading on their own research and insights. It’s common to see discrepancies, especially before significant events or when new information emerges. These differences can arise from varying levels of expertise, access to data, or simply differing interpretations of the same information. Examining these differences can be a valuable exercise for informed decision-making.

On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous order book where traders buy and sell contracts representing different outcomes of the spread. The price of each contract reflects the market’s assessment of the probability of that outcome occurring. As more traders participate and new information becomes available, the prices adjust dynamically. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The price movement is influenced by supply and demand; if many traders believe America FC will win by a significant margin, the price of contracts reflecting that outcome will increase. Conversely, if sentiment shifts, the price will decrease, creating opportunities for traders to profit from their predictions.

This market resolves around Oct 18, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The resolution will be based on the final result of the America FC vs Ferroviario match, specifically the final score difference. The official result, as reported by a recognized sports data provider, will determine which contracts pay out and at what value. Traders should monitor official sources for the final score to understand the resolution of this market. The final score difference will be used to determine the winning outcome.

Several signals and events could influence the price of this market leading up to Oct 18, 2026. Any news regarding key player injuries or suspensions for either America FC or Ferroviario would likely have a significant impact. Changes in team form, such as a string of recent wins or losses, could also shift market sentiment. Unexpected weather conditions on match day, or even tactical adjustments announced by the coaches, could also cause price fluctuations. Finally, large trading volume from informed participants could indicate a shift in expectations and move the market accordingly.