TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.7b
24H VOL:
$279,496,801
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,640,614
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,923,931,766
416,910
Markets across
40,107
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,571
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 17, 7:26 PM EST
Kalshi
This market evaluates various winning margins for America FC against Ferroviario in their Brasileiro Serie B soccer match. Different sub-markets require America FC to win by more than 2.5 or 1.5 goals, while others require Ferroviario to win by more than 1.5 or 2.5 goals. The outcome depends solely on the goal differential within regular time plus stoppage time.
All markets resolve based on the outcome of the America FC vs Ferroviario Brasileiro Serie B soccer game scheduled for Oct 17, 2026, after 90 minutes plus stoppage time, excluding extra time or penalties. Each market has a specific winning margin threshold: America FC must win by more than 2.5 or 1.5 goals, or Ferroviario must win by more than 1.5 or 2.5 goals for a 'Yes' resolution. Kalshi disclaims any affiliation with the governing league, and all trademarks belong to their respective owners.
On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous order book where traders buy and sell contracts representing different outcomes of the spread. The price of each contract reflects the market’s assessment of the probability of that outcome occurring. As more traders participate and new information becomes available, the prices adjust dynamically. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The price movement is influenced by supply and demand; if many traders believe America FC will win by a significant margin, the price of contracts reflecting that outcome will increase. Conversely, if sentiment shifts, the price will decrease, creating opportunities for traders to profit from their predictions.
This market resolves around Oct 18, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The resolution will be based on the final result of the America FC vs Ferroviario match, specifically the final score difference. The official result, as reported by a recognized sports data provider, will determine which contracts pay out and at what value. Traders should monitor official sources for the final score to understand the resolution of this market. The final score difference will be used to determine the winning outcome.
Several signals and events could influence the price of this market leading up to Oct 18, 2026. Any news regarding key player injuries or suspensions for either America FC or Ferroviario would likely have a significant impact. Changes in team form, such as a string of recent wins or losses, could also shift market sentiment. Unexpected weather conditions on match day, or even tactical adjustments announced by the coaches, could also cause price fluctuations. Finally, large trading volume from informed participants could indicate a shift in expectations and move the market accordingly.