TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.4b
24H VOL:
$230,589,906
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,028,936
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,885,293,300
410,482
Markets across
40,213
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,340
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 17, 7:26 PM EST
Kalshi
This event tracks the outcome of a professional soccer match between America FC and Ferroviario in the Brasileiro Serie B league. The result will be determined by the final score after the standard 90 minutes of play plus any added stoppage time. The event covers three possible outcomes: a win for either team or a tie.
The event resolves based on the official result of the America FC vs Ferroviario professional Brasileiro Serie B soccer match scheduled for October 17, 2026, after 90 minutes plus stoppage time. A 'Yes' outcome occurs if the respective market’s designated team wins the match within regular time, or if the match ends in a tie for the Tie market. If the game is cancelled or rescheduled to more than 48 hours beyond the original date, the market will resolve to a fair price. The resolution excludes extra time and penalty shootouts, focusing solely on the result at the end of regulation time. Kalshi disclaims any official affiliation with the governing league, and all trademarks remain property of their respective owners.
Prediction market odds often differ from those found at sportsbooks, reflecting the wisdom of the crowd versus the assessments of professional oddsmakers. Sportsbooks typically set initial lines to balance action, while this market’s prices are driven purely by supply and demand. If a significant number of participants believe a particular outcome is more likely than implied by sportsbook odds, the price will move accordingly. This can result in prediction market odds offering potentially better value, or highlighting discrepancies in perceived probabilities compared to traditional betting venues. Examining these differences can be insightful for both bettors and analysts.
On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous order book where traders can buy and sell contracts representing different outcomes. The price of each contract reflects the probability of that outcome occurring, as determined by the collective actions of all participants. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. As more people buy contracts for a specific outcome, its price increases, signaling growing confidence in that result. Conversely, selling pressure lowers the price. This dynamic pricing mechanism ensures that the market reflects the most up-to-date expectations of the crowd, making it a valuable indicator of potential event outcomes.
This market resolves around Oct 18, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The resolution will be based on the official result of the America FC vs Ferroviario match, as reported by a recognized sports authority. The platform will verify the result against publicly available data to determine the winning outcome and settle all outstanding contracts. Participants holding contracts for the winning outcome will receive a payout, while those holding contracts for losing outcomes will forfeit their investment. The outcome is determined by the official result of the match.
Several signals or events could significantly move this market before Oct 18, 2026. Any news regarding key player injuries, changes in team formations, or unexpected weather conditions could influence trader sentiment. Major upsets in other matches involving these teams, or shifts in public perception based on expert analysis, could also cause price fluctuations. Furthermore, large-volume trades from informed participants could quickly shift the odds. Monitoring these factors and staying informed about the latest developments surrounding the America FC vs Ferroviario match is crucial for understanding potential market movements.