TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.3b
24H VOL:
$228,458,490
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,028,936
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,879,276,037
410,833
Markets across
40,345
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,363
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 31, 2:02 PM EST
Kalshi
Two South African soccer clubs compete in a league encounter where the sole determinant of market resolution is the winner after standard playing time. The match outcome will be assessed following the entire 90-minute regulation period plus stoppage time, with no account taken of extended gameplay or penalty-based tiebreakers.
The market resolves based on the result of the AmaZulu vs Arrows professional South African Premiership soccer game scheduled for October 31, 2026, after 90 minutes plus stoppage time. If AmaZulu wins, the "AmaZulu" market resolves to Yes. If Arrows wins, the "Arrows" market resolves to Yes. If the game ends in a tie, the "Tie" market resolves to Yes. If the game is cancelled or rescheduled to over 48 hours away from the original date, all markets will resolve to a fair price in accordance with the rules.
Generally, prediction market odds often reflect a wisdom-of-the-crowd effect, potentially differing from traditional sportsbook odds. Sportsbooks may set initial lines based on power rankings and expert analysis, but can also be influenced by factors like public betting patterns and risk management. This market, however, allows individuals to express their own informed opinions, potentially leading to odds that more accurately forecast the actual result. It’s common to see discrepancies, especially as new information emerges or public perception shifts regarding the AmaZulu vs Arrows match.
On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous order book where traders buy and sell contracts representing different outcomes of the AmaZulu vs Arrows match. The price of each contract reflects the market's current expectation of that outcome's probability. As more traders buy contracts predicting a specific result, the price increases, and vice versa. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The platform uses a dynamic pricing model, meaning prices adjust rapidly based on supply and demand, providing a real-time assessment of the likely result.
This market resolves around Oct 31, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The result will be determined by the official result of the AmaZulu vs Arrows match as reported by a recognized sports data provider. The platform will verify the outcome against these sources to ensure accuracy and finalize the settlement of all contracts. Traders will then receive payouts based on whether their predictions aligned with the verified result of the match.
Several factors could influence trading activity and move this market before Oct 31, 2026. Key player injuries or suspensions for either AmaZulu or Arrows would likely have a significant impact. Unexpected changes in team form, such as a surprising win or loss in a recent match, could also shift market sentiment. Furthermore, any news related to team tactics, coaching changes, or even weather conditions on match day could all contribute to price fluctuations in this market. Public perception and media coverage can also play a role.