TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.5b
24H VOL:
$271,200,656
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,640,614
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,922,627,141
420,368
Markets across
40,352
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,484
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 31, 6:16 AM EST
Kalshi
This group resolves based on the outcome of a Japan B League basketball game between the Alvark Tokyo and the Utsunomiya Brex. The market determines which team wins the game, with a 50-50 split if the game is canceled without a reschedule.
In the upcoming Japan B League game, scheduled for October 31 at 4:05AM ET: If the Alvark Tokyo win, the market will resolve to "Alvark Tokyo". If the Utsunomiya Brex win, the market will resolve to "Utsunomiya Brex". If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve 50-50. The result will be determined based on the final score including any overtime periods.
The event determines the winner of the Utsunomiya Brex vs Alvark Tokyo men's professional Japan B League basketball game scheduled for October 31, 2026, at 4:05 AM EDT, resolving to Yes for the respective market if the named team wins. If the game is postponed but starts within 48 hours of the original time, the market stays open and resolves based on the final official result. If the game is cancelled or fails to start within 48 hours of the scheduled time, all markets resolve to a fair price, ensuring equitable treatment for all participants under these contingency conditions.
Polymarket and Kalshi can show different implied probabilities for the same outcome because of liquidity, fee structure, participant mix, and how each venue defines the contract. The prices for this market on Polymarket and Kalshi may differ due to several factors. Each platform has its own user base, trading dynamics, and fee structure, all of which can influence price discovery. Furthermore, the liquidity and volume on each platform can vary, leading to temporary imbalances. Different traders may also interpret available information about the Alvark Tokyo vs. Brex game differently, causing divergent opinions reflected in the market prices. It’s common to see these variations even when both platforms are tracking the same underlying event.