TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.3b
24H VOL:
$228,458,490
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,028,936
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,879,276,037
410,833
Markets across
40,345
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,363
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 26, 8:06 AM EST
Kalshi
This market tracks the outcome of a professional basketball game between two teams competing in Japan's B League. The result depends solely on which team secures a victory in the match scheduled for a specific date and time. Any changes to the game's timing or cancellation will follow defined guidelines to determine the final settlement.
The event resolves based on the winner of the men's professional Japan B League basketball game between Alvark Tokyo and Saga Ballooners, scheduled for October 26, 2026, at 6:05 AM EDT. If the game is postponed but commences within 48 hours of its original scheduled start time, the market remains open and resolves according to the official result of the game when played. Should the game be cancelled or fail to start within the 48-hour window, all markets resolve to a fair price. The markets are independent of each team’s outcome, each having its own resolution condition based on the respective team’s victory. Kalshi disclaims any official affiliation with the Governing League, and all trademarks remain property of their respective owners.
Typically, prediction market odds reflect a different set of information and incentives than those found at sportsbooks. Sportsbooks often incorporate a 'vig' or commission into their odds, representing their profit margin. This market, however, is driven by the collective wisdom of traders who aim to accurately predict the outcome. As a result, prediction market prices can sometimes be more efficient and less susceptible to biases present in traditional betting markets. Polls and analysts' predictions often align more closely with prediction market probabilities than with sportsbook odds, as both attempt to forecast the event's true likelihood.
On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous auction mechanism where traders buy and sell contracts representing different outcomes. The price of each contract reflects the market's assessment of the probability of that outcome occurring. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. Traders adjust their bids and asks based on their own analysis and expectations, leading to a dynamic price discovery process. The more traders believe an outcome is likely, the higher the price of its corresponding contract will rise, and vice versa. This creates a real-time indication of the collective forecast for the Alvark Tokyo vs Saga Ballooners game.
This market resolves around Oct 26, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The resolution will be based on the official result of the Alvark Tokyo vs Saga Ballooners game as reported by official sources. The platform will verify the result against these sources to determine which outcome corresponds to the actual game result. Traders holding contracts for the winning outcome will be paid out according to the final market price at resolution, while those holding contracts for the losing outcome will forfeit their investment.
Several signals or events could influence this market before it resolves. Any news regarding player injuries, changes in team lineups, or significant performance shifts could impact trader sentiment and cause price fluctuations. Unexpected announcements about coaching strategies or team morale could also play a role. Furthermore, broader news related to the teams' overall season performance or competitive landscape might affect how traders assess their chances in this particular game. Major upsets in other related games could also indirectly influence the market as traders reassess probabilities.