TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.4b
24H VOL:
$230,589,906
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,028,936
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,885,293,300
410,482
Markets across
40,213
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,340
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 16, 3:34 PM EST
Polymarket
In the upcoming match between Aluminij Kidricevo and Olimpija Ljubljana, scheduled for October 16, 2026 at 11:30 AM ET: This market will resolve to "Aluminij Kidricevo" if Aluminij Kidricevo are the first to score within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. This market will resolve to "Olimpija Ljubljana" if Olimpija Ljubljana are the first to score within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. If neither team scores within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time, this market will resolve "Neither". If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve to "Neither". This market refers only to the outcome within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. Extra time and penalty shoot-outs are excluded. The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, data from Flashscore may be used; if Flashscore data is unavailable, data from Sofascore may be used; if neither is available, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead. All markets will settle based on the official final result as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. Revisions to officially declared final scores made after market resolution will not be accounted for in determining the outcome. If no acceptable data is available within 24 hours of the event's conclusion, this market will resolve 50-50, or to "Draw" where applicable.
In the upcoming match between Aluminij Kidricevo and Olimpija Ljubljana, scheduled for October 16, 2026 at 11:30 AM ET: This market will resolve to "Aluminij Kidricevo" if Aluminij Kidricevo are the first to score within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. This market will resolve to "Olimpija Ljubljana" if Olimpija Ljubljana are the first to score within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. If neither team scores within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time, this market will resolve "Neither". If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve to "Neither". This market refers only to the outcome within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. Extra time and penalty shoot-outs are excluded. The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, data from Flashscore may be used; if Flashscore data is unavailable, data from Sofascore may be used; if neither is available, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead. All markets will settle based on the official final result as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. Revisions to officially declared final scores made after market resolution will not be accounted for in determining the outcome. If no acceptable data is available within 24 hours of the event's conclusion, this market will resolve 50-50, or to "Draw" where applicable.
Typically, prediction market odds reflect the wisdom of the crowd and can differ from traditional sportsbook odds. Sportsbooks often set initial lines based on statistical models and expert opinions, while this market incorporates the collective judgment of many individual traders. If there's a significant discrepancy, it might indicate that prediction market participants have access to information or perspectives not fully considered by sportsbooks. However, as the event approaches, these odds tend to converge as more information becomes available and market participants refine their assessments.
On Polymarket, this market is priced through a continuous trading mechanism where users buy and sell shares representing their belief in each outcome. The price of these shares fluctuates based on supply and demand, directly reflecting the collective probability assigned to each team scoring first. On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The price movement is driven by new information, changing sentiment, and traders attempting to profit from perceived mispricings. A higher share price indicates greater confidence in that team scoring first, while a lower price suggests lower confidence.
This market resolves around Oct 16, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The team that scores the first goal in the Aluminij Kidricevo versus Olimpija Ljubljana match will determine the winning outcome. Resolution will be based on official match data, and any disputes will be handled according to Polymarket’s standard procedures. Traders will be able to claim their winnings once the result is officially verified.
Several factors could influence the price of this market. Any news regarding team injuries, suspensions, or changes in coaching staff could significantly shift expectations. Unexpected weather conditions or a change in the playing venue might also play a role. Furthermore, pre-match analysis from sports commentators and analysts, as well as any shifts in public sentiment, could all contribute to price movements. Strong performance in previous matches by either team, or tactical adjustments announced before kickoff, could also impact trading activity in this market.