TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.3b
24H VOL:
$228,458,490
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,028,936
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,879,276,037
410,833
Markets across
40,345
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,363
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 27, 5:42 PM EST
Kalshi
This event tracks the outcome of a professional soccer match between Altrincham and Kidderminster in the English National League. The result is determined by which team wins the match within the regular 90 minutes plus any added stoppage time, excluding extra time or penalty kicks. If neither team wins during this period, the match ends in a tie.
The event resolves based on the result of the Altrincham vs Kidderminster professional English National League soccer match scheduled for October 27, 2026. A win for either Altrincham or Kidderminster within 90 minutes plus stoppage time (excluding extra time or penalties) resolves the respective market to Yes. If the match concludes in a tie under the same conditions, the Tie market resolves to Yes. Should the game be cancelled or rescheduled to more than 48 hours beyond the original date, all markets will resolve to a fair price as determined by the platform. The event exclusively considers the result after regular time and stoppage, with no account for extended play or penalty shootouts.
Prediction market odds often offer a different perspective compared to traditional sportsbooks. Sportsbooks set their lines based on their own models and to balance action, while this market reflects the collective wisdom of traders. Often, prediction markets can be more accurate forecasts, especially when there's significant public interest. It’s common to see discrepancies between the two, as prediction markets can incorporate information that sportsbooks might overlook, or react more quickly to new developments. Examining both can provide a more comprehensive view.
On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous order book where traders buy and sell contracts representing different outcomes. The price of each contract reflects the market’s assessment of the probability of that outcome occurring. As more traders participate, the prices adjust to reflect the latest information and sentiment. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The market depth and trading activity influence how quickly prices respond to news or changes in perceived probabilities. This dynamic pricing mechanism allows for a real-time assessment of expectations.
This market resolves around Oct 27, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The result will be based on the official result of the Altrincham vs Kidderminster match as reported by a recognized sports data provider. The platform will verify the outcome against these sources to determine which contracts will pay out. Traders should monitor official sources as the event approaches to stay informed about any potential factors that could influence the final result.
Several signals could significantly move this market before resolution. Any news regarding team injuries, changes in player lineups, or unexpected weather conditions could impact the perceived probabilities. Significant shifts in public sentiment, perhaps driven by expert analysis or media coverage, could also influence trading activity. Furthermore, late-breaking news about team morale or coaching decisions could also cause the market to react. Monitoring these factors will be crucial for anyone looking to trade in this market.