TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.4b
24H VOL:
$235,918,089
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,028,936
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,884,820,873
413,109
Markets across
40,428
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,364
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 24, 4:06 AM EST
Kalshi
This market centers on the outcome of a professional basketball game between Altiri Chiba and Ibaraki Robots in Japan's B League. The result depends solely on which team secures a victory in the match scheduled for October 24, 2026. Any changes to the game's timing or cancellation will be handled according to specific guidelines to ensure fair resolution.
The event resolves based on the winner of the Altiri Chiba vs Ibaraki Robots men’s professional Japan B League basketball game scheduled for October 24, 2026, at 2:05 AM EDT. If the game is postponed but commences within 48 hours of its original scheduled start time, the market remains open and resolves according to the official result of the game when played. If the game is cancelled or fails to start within the 48-hour window, all markets resolve to a fair price, reflecting an equitable outcome in light of the disruption. The markets are independent of any official affiliation with the governing league, and all trademarks remain property of their respective owners.
Prediction market odds often reflect the wisdom of the crowd, potentially differing from those set by sportsbooks. Sportsbooks establish initial lines based on their own models and risk assessment, whereas this market’s odds are determined by traders who are incentivized to accurately predict the outcome. If a significant discrepancy exists between prediction market probabilities and sportsbook odds, it might suggest that the market believes the sportsbook has mispriced the event. It's important to note that both represent probabilities of the same event, but are derived through different mechanisms.
On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous order book where traders buy and sell contracts representing their beliefs about the outcome of the Japanese basketball match. The price of these contracts fluctuates based on supply and demand, reflecting the collective predictions of the traders. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The market price represents the implied probability of a particular outcome occurring, and traders aim to profit by accurately forecasting the result. Volume and open interest provide insights into the market’s conviction and liquidity.
This market resolves around Oct 24, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The resolution will be based on the official result of the Altiri Chiba versus Ibaraki Robots basketball game. The platform will verify the result against publicly available sources to determine the winning outcome. Traders holding contracts on the correct outcome will receive a payout, while those holding contracts on the incorrect outcome will forfeit their investment. This process ensures a transparent and objective resolution.
Several factors could influence trading activity and shift the odds in this market. News regarding player injuries, changes in team lineups, or unexpected coaching decisions could all impact predictions. Additionally, any significant updates about the teams’ recent performance or strategic adjustments could cause traders to reassess their positions. Public sentiment, reflected in social media or expert analysis, might also play a role. Ultimately, any information that alters perceptions of the teams’ relative strengths could move this market before it resolves.