TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.6b
24H VOL:
$333,432,169
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,640,614
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,971,286,090
419,492
Markets across
40,634
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,654
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 27, 5:36 PM EST
Kalshi
This event tracks the outcome of a professional soccer match between Altamura and Gubbio in the Coppa Italia Lega Pro. The result is determined by which team wins the game within the regular 90 minutes plus any added stoppage time, excluding extra time or penalty shootouts. If the game ends with both teams level, it is considered a tie.
The event resolves based on the result of the Altamura vs Gubbio professional Coppa Italia Lega Pro soccer match scheduled for October 27, 2026. A 'Yes' outcome occurs if either Altamura or Gubbio wins the match within the standard 90 minutes plus stoppage time, excluding extra time or penalty shootouts. If the match concludes in a tie after this regulation period, the 'Tie' market resolves to 'Yes.' Should the game be canceled or rescheduled to more than 48 hours beyond the original date, all markets will resolve to a fair price as determined by the platform. The event exclusively considers the result after regular time, with no account for extended play or tie-breaking procedures.
Prediction market odds often reflect the collective wisdom of a diverse group of traders, potentially differing from those offered by traditional sportsbooks. Sportsbooks set their lines based on statistical models and expert analysis, while this market aggregates the views of many individuals with skin in the game. Discrepancies can arise due to differing information, biases, or simply varying interpretations of the same data. It's common to see prediction markets move independently of sportsbook lines, especially as new information becomes available closer to the event.
On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous order book where traders buy and sell contracts representing different outcomes. The price of each contract reflects the market's current expectation of that outcome's probability. As more traders participate, the prices adjust to reflect the evolving consensus. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The market depth and trading volume influence how quickly prices respond to new information. Traders aim to profit by identifying discrepancies between their own assessment of the outcome and the market price.
This market resolves around Oct 27, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The resolution will be based on the official result of the Altamura vs Gubbio match, as reported by a recognized sports data provider. The platform will verify the result against these sources to determine which outcome corresponds to the actual event outcome. Traders holding contracts on the correct outcome will receive a payout, while those holding contracts on incorrect outcomes will not.
Several factors could influence the price of this market before Oct 27, 2026. Any news regarding team injuries, changes in coaching staff, or shifts in player form could significantly impact trader sentiment. Unexpected weather conditions on match day could also play a role. Furthermore, significant betting activity or large trades on Kalshi itself can create price movements, as traders react to perceived information or attempt to influence the market. Public opinion and expert analysis, while not directly reflected in the market, can also indirectly affect trading behavior.