TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.5b
24H VOL:
$271,200,656
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,640,614
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,922,627,141
420,368
Markets across
40,352
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,484
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 11, 12:11 PM EST
Kalshi
This event tracks the outcome of a professional soccer match between Almeria and Leganes in La Liga 2. The result depends solely on which team wins the match within the regular 90 minutes plus stoppage time, or if the game ends in a tie.
The event resolves based on the full-time result of the Almeria vs Leganes professional La Liga 2 soccer match scheduled for October 11, 2026, after 90 minutes plus stoppage time. A win for Almeria resolves the 'Almeria' market to Yes; a win for Leganes resolves the 'Leganes' market to Yes; and a tie resolves the 'Tie' market to Yes. Extra time and penalty shootouts do not affect the outcome. If the match is cancelled or rescheduled to more than 48 hours beyond the original date, all markets will resolve to a fair price according to the platform's guidelines. The event explicitly excludes any official affiliation with the governing league, and all trademarks remain the property of their respective owners.
Typically, prediction market odds reflect the wisdom of the crowd, often differing from initial sportsbook odds due to differing information and incentives. Sportsbooks set lines to balance action and ensure profit, while this market allows traders to express their independent beliefs about the outcome. If a significant number of informed bettors believe a sportsbook’s line is inaccurate, you may see the prediction market odds diverge. However, as the event approaches, these odds tend to converge as more information becomes available and public sentiment solidifies.
On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous order book where traders buy and sell contracts representing different outcomes of the Almeria vs Leganes match. The price of each contract reflects the market’s collective assessment of its probability. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. Traders are incentivized to set accurate prices, as they profit from correctly predicting the outcome. As more traders participate and new information emerges, the prices adjust, providing a dynamic and real-time forecast.
This market resolves around Oct 11, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The result of the Almeria vs Leganes match, as reported by official sources, will determine the winning contract. The platform will verify the result against these sources to ensure accuracy and finalize the market settlement. Traders holding the winning contract will receive a payout based on the final market price at resolution.
Several factors could influence the price of this market. Any news regarding player injuries or suspensions for either Almeria or Leganes would likely cause significant movement. Changes in team form, tactical adjustments, or even weather conditions on match day could also shift trader sentiment. Unexpected announcements about team lineups or managerial decisions can also impact the market. Furthermore, major upsets in related matches or broader football news could indirectly influence trading activity in this market.