TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.3b
24H VOL:
$228,458,490
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,028,936
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,879,276,037
410,833
Markets across
40,345
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,363
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 3, 3:52 PM EST
Kalshi
This market centers on the outcome of a professional soccer match between Almere and Volendam. Bettors can speculate on which team will win the game after the full 90 minutes plus any stoppage time. If the match ends with both teams level, a separate outcome accounts for that scenario.
The markets resolve based on the full-time result of the Almere vs Volendam professional Eerste Divisie soccer match scheduled for October 3, 2026, after 90 minutes plus stoppage time, excluding extra time or penalty kicks. A 'Yes' outcome corresponds to the specified team winning, while a 'Tie' market resolves positively if the game concludes with an equal score. Should the match be cancelled or rescheduled to more than 48 hours beyond the original date, all markets will settle at a fair price as determined per platform policy. The markets exclusively consider regulation time results, with no affiliation to the governing league or its branding entities.
Typically, prediction market odds reflect the wisdom of the crowd and can differ from traditional sportsbook odds. Sportsbooks often set initial lines based on statistical models and expert analysis, while this market allows anyone to trade on their beliefs. As more information becomes available – such as team news or weather forecasts – the odds on Kalshi may move independently of sportsbook lines. It’s common to see discrepancies, especially when public opinion diverges from expert consensus, offering potential arbitrage opportunities for informed traders.
On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous order book where traders buy and sell contracts representing different outcomes of the Almere vs Volendam match. The price of each contract reflects the market’s collective belief about the probability of that outcome occurring. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. Traders set the odds by placing bids and asks, and the market price adjusts dynamically based on supply and demand. This creates a real-time assessment of the event’s potential results, driven entirely by trader activity.
This market resolves around Oct 3, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the result of the Almere vs Volendam match is verifiable from credible public reporting. The resolution will be based on the official result declared by the governing sporting body. Traders who correctly predicted the outcome will receive a payout based on the final market price at resolution. It’s important to monitor news sources leading up to the resolution date to stay informed about any factors that could influence the official result.
Several signals could significantly move this market before Oct 3, 2026. Key player injuries or suspensions for either Almere or Volendam would likely cause shifts in the odds. Unexpected changes in team form, such as a surprising win or loss in a recent match, could also influence trader sentiment. Even external factors like adverse weather conditions impacting the game could play a role. Any significant news related to the teams or the match itself is likely to be reflected in the trading activity on Kalshi.