TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.3b
24H VOL:
$219,029,434
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,028,936
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,869,293,526
411,051
Markets across
40,408
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,377
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 17, 10:58 AM EST
Kalshi
This market centers on the outcome of a professional soccer match between Almere and Treffers Groesbeek, focusing exclusively on the result after the standard 90 minutes plus stoppage time. It allows participants to speculate on whether Almere will win, Treffers Groesbeek will win, or if the match will end in a tie. The resolution depends solely on the final score at the end of regular time, with no consideration for extra time or penalty shootouts.
The event resolves based on the result of the Almere vs Treffers Groesbeek professional Tweede Divisie soccer match scheduled for October 17, 2026, after 90 minutes plus stoppage time. Three distinct outcomes are possible: Almere win, Treffers Groesbeek win, or a tie. The market resolves to Yes for the respective outcome market if that condition is met. If the match is cancelled or rescheduled to more than 48 hours beyond the original date, the market will resolve to a fair price following the platform's guidelines. No extra time or penalty shootout results influence the resolution.
Prediction market odds often differ from traditional sportsbook odds due to the wisdom of the crowd and differing incentives. Sportsbooks set lines to balance action and ensure profit, while this market reflects the collective beliefs of traders who are incentivized to accurately predict the outcome. If a significant discrepancy exists, it may indicate that the market perceives information differently than sportsbooks, or that one venue has a more informed or active trading base. Examining these differences can provide valuable insights into the perceived probabilities of various outcomes.
This market resolves around Oct 17, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The resolution will be based on the official result of the Almere vs Treffers Groesbeek match as reported by recognized sports authorities. Traders holding contracts corresponding to the winning outcome will be paid out, while those holding contracts on losing outcomes will forfeit their investment. The platform will verify the result and distribute payouts accordingly.
Several factors could influence the trading activity in this market before Oct 17, 2026. Key player injuries or suspensions for either Almere or Treffers Groesbeek would likely cause significant shifts in probabilities. Unexpected changes in team form, such as a surprising win or loss in a preceding match, could also impact trader sentiment. Even weather conditions on match day, or significant news related to team management, could introduce new information and lead to price adjustments in this market.