TOTAL VOLUME:

$154.7b

24H VOL:

$279,496,801

24H TRANSACTIONS:

2,984,640,614

OPEN INTEREST:

$1,923,931,766

416,910

Markets across

40,107

events

MATCHED EVENTS:

4,571

PLATFORM COVERAGE:

5

Polymarket:

37%

VS.

Kalshi:

63%

BETA
Dashboards
Tour
All
Sports
Almere City FC vs. FC Eindhoven
kalshi
polymarket

What is the result of Almere City FC vs FC Eindhoven?

Volume:
$21,758

Almere

all

2 markets

Kalshi

Polymarket

consensus

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolved Oct 9, 2026

Closed: Oct 9, 3:58 PM EST

kalshi

Kalshi

View
Join Kalshi and score $25 for your first trade.
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
kalshi

Almere

View
100%
32%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$7,476
N/A
N/A
$6,479
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Almere City FC

100%
31%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$1,389
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Tie

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$5,921
N/A
N/A
$4,640
Settled
No
polymarket

Draw (Almere City FC vs. FC Eindhoven)

0%
16%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$429
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
kalshi

FC Eindhoven

0%
14%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$4,485
N/A
N/A
$3,414
Settled
No
polymarket

FC Eindhoven

0%
14%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$2,058
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
Total markets: 6

Description

This event group concerns the outcome of a soccer match between Almere City FC and FC Eindhoven scheduled for October 9, 2026. Markets ask whether Almere City FC will win, FC Eindhoven will win, or the game will end in a draw, all within the standard 90 minutes of play plus stoppage time.

PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)

Divergence Detected

Issue: Polymarket explicitly resolves canceled games to 'No', while Kalshi's logic is silent on cancellations, implying reliance on the game being completed.Hero tip: Consider the likelihood of cancellation when trading. Polymarket offers some protection against this scenario, while Kalshi does not.

Critical divergence points:

  • Polymarket: Markets resolve based on win/loss/draw within 90 minutes + stoppage time. If canceled, resolves to 'No'. Uses official stats, then Flashscore/Sofascore if official data is delayed.
  • Kalshi: Markets resolve based on win/loss/draw within 90 minutes + stoppage time. No mention of cancellation handling. Relies on the game being completed.
Our PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.

Polymarket

This event is for the upcoming Netherlands Eerste Divisie game, scheduled for Friday, October 9, 2026 between Almere City FC and FC Eindhoven.

Kalshi

The market resolves based on the result of the Almere vs FC Eindhoven professional Eerste Divisie soccer match originally scheduled for October 9, 2026, after 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. A 'Yes' outcome for Almere or FC Eindhoven occurs if the respective team wins the match within this timeframe. If the match ends in a tie after regular time and stoppage, the 'Tie' market resolves to 'Yes.' If the game is cancelled or rescheduled to more than 48 hours beyond the original date, the market will resolve to a fair price, ensuring equitable treatment for all participants. The resolution excludes outcomes determined by extra time or penalty shootouts, focusing solely on the result at the end of regular play and stoppage time.

Frequently asked questions

Prediction market odds, like those found on Polymarket and Kalshi, often reflect the collective wisdom of a diverse group of traders, potentially offering a different perspective than traditional sportsbooks. Sportsbooks set odds based on their own models and aim to profit from margins, while this market relies on individuals betting with their own capital. This can lead to discrepancies, especially when public sentiment differs from expert analysis. While sportsbooks may quickly adjust to new information, prediction markets can sometimes incorporate information more efficiently due to the continuous trading and price discovery process. Examining both can provide a more comprehensive view.

Polymarket and Kalshi can show different implied probabilities for the same outcome because of liquidity, fee structure, participant mix, and how each venue defines the contract. Prices on Polymarket and Kalshi may differ due to variations in user base, trading volume, and market design. Each platform attracts a different set of participants with varying levels of expertise and risk tolerance. Furthermore, the specific rules and fees associated with each platform can influence trading behavior. For example, differing liquidity levels can create temporary price discrepancies. While both platforms ultimately aim to reflect the probability of the same event – the outcome of the Almere City vs. Eindhoven match – these factors contribute to potential price divergence.