TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.7b
24H VOL:
$279,496,801
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,640,614
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,923,931,766
416,910
Markets across
40,107
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,571
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 9, 3:58 PM EST
Kalshi
This event group concerns the outcome of a soccer match between Almere City FC and FC Eindhoven scheduled for October 9, 2026. Markets ask whether Almere City FC will win, FC Eindhoven will win, or the game will end in a draw, all within the standard 90 minutes of play plus stoppage time.
This event is for the upcoming Netherlands Eerste Divisie game, scheduled for Friday, October 9, 2026 between Almere City FC and FC Eindhoven.
The market resolves based on the result of the Almere vs FC Eindhoven professional Eerste Divisie soccer match originally scheduled for October 9, 2026, after 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. A 'Yes' outcome for Almere or FC Eindhoven occurs if the respective team wins the match within this timeframe. If the match ends in a tie after regular time and stoppage, the 'Tie' market resolves to 'Yes.' If the game is cancelled or rescheduled to more than 48 hours beyond the original date, the market will resolve to a fair price, ensuring equitable treatment for all participants. The resolution excludes outcomes determined by extra time or penalty shootouts, focusing solely on the result at the end of regular play and stoppage time.
Polymarket and Kalshi can show different implied probabilities for the same outcome because of liquidity, fee structure, participant mix, and how each venue defines the contract. Prices on Polymarket and Kalshi may differ due to variations in user base, trading volume, and market design. Each platform attracts a different set of participants with varying levels of expertise and risk tolerance. Furthermore, the specific rules and fees associated with each platform can influence trading behavior. For example, differing liquidity levels can create temporary price discrepancies. While both platforms ultimately aim to reflect the probability of the same event – the outcome of the Almere City vs. Eindhoven match – these factors contribute to potential price divergence.