TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.3b
24H VOL:
$228,458,490
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,028,936
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,879,276,037
410,833
Markets across
40,345
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,363
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 19, 5:32 AM EST
Polymarket
This market refers to the tennis match between Thiago Agustin Tirante and Facundo Acosta in the Almaty Open, originally scheduled for October 19, 2026 at 2:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Thiago Agustin Tirante' if Thiago Agustin Tirante advances against Facundo Acosta. This market will resolve to 'Facundo Acosta' if Facundo Acosta advances against Thiago Agustin Tirante. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by November 2, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the ATP Tour. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market refers to the tennis match between Thiago Agustin Tirante and Facundo Acosta in the Almaty Open, originally scheduled for October 19, 2026 at 2:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Thiago Agustin Tirante' if Thiago Agustin Tirante advances against Facundo Acosta. This market will resolve to 'Facundo Acosta' if Facundo Acosta advances against Thiago Agustin Tirante. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by November 2, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the ATP Tour. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Typically, prediction market odds reflect a wisdom-of-the-crowd perspective, potentially differing from sportsbook odds which may be influenced by factors like house bias or promotional offers. Sportsbooks often adjust their lines based on betting action and public perception, while this market relies on traders directly expressing their beliefs about the outcome. It’s common to see discrepancies, especially when there’s significant public interest or disagreement about the likely winner. Comparing these odds can provide a broader understanding of expectations surrounding the Almaty Open match.
On Polymarket, this market is priced through a continuous auction mechanism where traders buy and sell shares representing their belief in a particular outcome. The price of these shares directly reflects the implied probability of that outcome occurring. On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The market’s price fluctuates based on supply and demand, driven by new information and traders’ evolving assessments of the players’ chances. Higher demand for shares in a specific outcome will drive up its price, indicating increased confidence in that result.
This market resolves around Oct 26, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. Resolution will be based on the official result of the Almaty Open match between Thiago Agustin Tirante and Facundo Acosta. The platform will verify the winner against official tournament results and reporting. Traders will then be able to claim their winnings based on the final outcome of the match, as determined by the official results.
Several factors could influence this market before the match concludes. Any news regarding player injuries, changes in playing conditions, or even updated analyses from tennis experts could shift trader sentiment. Unexpected results in earlier rounds of the Almaty Open, or even broader trends in player performance, might also impact the odds. Significant betting activity on Polymarket itself can also create momentum and drive price movements, reflecting the collective assessment of traders participating in this market.