TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.4b
24H VOL:
$230,589,906
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,028,936
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,885,293,300
410,482
Markets across
40,213
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,340
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Almaty Open: Rei Sakamoto vs Karen Khachanov Set Handicap +/-1.5
- Polymarket
Almaty Open: Rei Sakamoto vs Karen Khachanov Set Handicap +/-1.5 - Polymarket
1W
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Vol.
·
Resolved Oct 20, 2026
Closed: Oct 20, 12:26 PM EST
Polymarket
This market refers to the tennis match between Rei Sakamoto and Karen Khachanov in the Almaty Open, originally scheduled for October 20, 2026 at 2:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Rei Sakamoto' if Rei Sakamoto advances against Karen Khachanov. This market will resolve to 'Karen Khachanov' if Karen Khachanov advances against Rei Sakamoto. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by November 3, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the ATP Tour. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market refers to the tennis match between Rei Sakamoto and Karen Khachanov in the Almaty Open, originally scheduled for October 20, 2026 at 2:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Rei Sakamoto' if Rei Sakamoto advances against Karen Khachanov. This market will resolve to 'Karen Khachanov' if Karen Khachanov advances against Rei Sakamoto. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by November 3, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the ATP Tour. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Often, prediction market odds offer a different perspective than traditional sportsbooks. Sportsbooks incorporate a 'vig' or commission into their odds, ensuring a profit margin, while Polymarket allows traders to directly assess the probability of an outcome. This can lead to discrepancies, with this market potentially reflecting the collective wisdom of informed traders more accurately than fixed sportsbook lines. However, it’s important to remember that both represent probabilities based on different information sources and participant motivations, and the difference can vary significantly depending on public perception and available information.
This market resolves around Oct 27, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. Resolution will be based on the official result of the Almaty Open match between Rei Sakamoto and Karen Khachanov, as determined by the tournament organizers. The outcome will be the winner of the match, and the market will settle to 100% for the winning player’s corresponding share. Traders should monitor official sources for the definitive result to understand when this market is finalized.
Several factors could influence the price of this market before the match concludes. Any news regarding player injuries, changes in playing conditions, or even significant shifts in public sentiment could cause traders to reassess their probabilities. Unexpected performance in other matches leading up to this one could also impact the market. Furthermore, large volume trades on Polymarket by informed traders could signal new information or a change in outlook, leading to price adjustments. Monitoring these signals is key to understanding potential shifts in this market.