TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.4b
24H VOL:
$235,918,089
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,028,936
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,884,820,873
413,109
Markets across
40,428
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,364
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 18, 5:47 AM EST
Polymarket
This market refers to the tennis match between Roman Safiullin and Ilia Simakin in the Almaty Open, Qualification, originally scheduled for October 18, 2026 at 3:30AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Roman Safiullin' if Roman Safiullin advances against Ilia Simakin. This market will resolve to 'Ilia Simakin' if Ilia Simakin advances against Roman Safiullin. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by November 1, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the ATP Tour. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market refers to the tennis match between Roman Safiullin and Ilia Simakin in the Almaty Open, Qualification, originally scheduled for October 18, 2026 at 3:30AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Roman Safiullin' if Roman Safiullin advances against Ilia Simakin. This market will resolve to 'Ilia Simakin' if Ilia Simakin advances against Roman Safiullin. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by November 1, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the ATP Tour. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Prediction market odds often reflect the collective wisdom of a diverse group of bettors, potentially offering a different perspective than traditional sportsbooks. Sportsbook odds are typically set by professional oddsmakers, while this market is driven by individual traders. It's common to see discrepancies between the two, especially early in the market's life cycle or when significant information emerges. Comparing these odds can reveal insights into public perception and potential value bets, though it's important to remember that neither source is always perfectly accurate.
On Polymarket, this market is priced through a continuous auction mechanism where traders buy and sell shares representing their belief in the outcome. The price of a share directly corresponds to the probability of that outcome occurring, as perceived by the market participants. On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. As more traders participate and new information becomes available, the price adjusts to reflect the evolving consensus. This dynamic pricing allows for a real-time assessment of the likelihood of each player winning the Safiullin vs Simakin match.
This market resolves around Oct 25, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the result of the Safiullin vs Simakin match is verifiable from credible public reporting. The outcome will be determined by the official result declared by the tournament organizers. This includes confirmation of which player advanced to the next stage of the Almaty Open qualification. The platform will then verify the result against these sources to finalize the market and distribute payouts to winning traders.
Several factors could influence the price of this market before Oct 25, 2026. Any news regarding player form, injuries, or changes to playing conditions could significantly shift trader sentiment. Unexpected upsets in other matches within the qualification draw might also impact perceptions of player momentum. Furthermore, major shifts in public opinion, reflected in betting patterns, could drive price fluctuations. Monitoring these signals will be crucial for traders seeking to capitalize on potential opportunities in this market.