TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.3b
24H VOL:
$219,029,434
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,028,936
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,869,293,526
411,051
Markets across
40,408
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,377
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 18, 4:41 AM EST
Polymarket
This market refers to the tennis match between Gabriel Diallo and Rei Sakamoto in the Almaty Open, Qualification, originally scheduled for October 18, 2026 at 2:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Gabriel Diallo' if Gabriel Diallo advances against Rei Sakamoto. This market will resolve to 'Rei Sakamoto' if Rei Sakamoto advances against Gabriel Diallo. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by November 1, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the ATP Tour. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market refers to the tennis match between Gabriel Diallo and Rei Sakamoto in the Almaty Open, Qualification, originally scheduled for October 18, 2026 at 2:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Gabriel Diallo' if Gabriel Diallo advances against Rei Sakamoto. This market will resolve to 'Rei Sakamoto' if Rei Sakamoto advances against Gabriel Diallo. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by November 1, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the ATP Tour. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Prediction market odds often reflect the collective wisdom of a diverse group of forecasters, potentially differing from those offered by traditional sportsbooks. Sportsbooks set lines based on their own models and aim to balance action on both sides, while this market is driven purely by traders’ willingness to buy or sell. It’s common to see discrepancies, especially early in the market’s life, as prediction markets can quickly incorporate new information and adjust probabilities based on evolving sentiment surrounding the Diallo vs Sakamoto match.
On Polymarket, this market is priced through a continuous auction mechanism where traders buy and sell shares representing their belief in the outcome of the Diallo vs Sakamoto match. The price of these shares directly reflects the implied probability of that outcome. On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The more shares bought for a particular outcome, the higher its price rises, indicating increased confidence from market participants. This dynamic pricing allows the market to quickly adapt to new information and changing expectations.
This market resolves around Oct 25, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the result of the Diallo vs Sakamoto match is verifiable from credible public reporting. Resolution will be based on the official result declared by the tournament organizers. The market will determine which player advances based on the official match outcome, and shares will be settled accordingly. Traders should monitor official sources for the final result to understand when this market will be finalized.
Several factors could influence the price of shares in this market before the Diallo vs Sakamoto match concludes. Any news regarding player form, potential injuries, or changes in playing conditions could significantly shift trader sentiment. Unexpected results in other matches within the Almaty Open qualification rounds might also impact perceptions of the players’ chances. Furthermore, large volume trades on Polymarket could indicate informed activity and cause rapid price adjustments, reflecting new insights into the likely winner of the match.