TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.4b
24H VOL:
$230,589,906
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,028,936
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,885,293,300
410,482
Markets across
40,213
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,340
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 17, 4:11 AM EST
Polymarket
This market refers to the tennis match between Gabriel Diallo and Harold Mayot in the Almaty Open, Qualification, originally scheduled for October 17, 2026 at 2:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Gabriel Diallo' if Gabriel Diallo advances against Harold Mayot. This market will resolve to 'Harold Mayot' if Harold Mayot advances against Gabriel Diallo. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the ATP Tour. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market refers to the tennis match between Gabriel Diallo and Harold Mayot in the Almaty Open, Qualification, originally scheduled for October 17, 2026 at 2:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Gabriel Diallo' if Gabriel Diallo advances against Harold Mayot. This market will resolve to 'Harold Mayot' if Harold Mayot advances against Gabriel Diallo. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the ATP Tour. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Prediction market odds often reflect the collective wisdom of a diverse group of traders, potentially offering a different perspective than traditional sportsbooks. Sportsbook odds are typically set by professional oddsmakers, while this market is driven by individual predictions. It’s common to see discrepancies emerge, especially before a significant amount of trading occurs. These differences can stem from varying information access, analytical approaches, or simply differing opinions on the likely outcome of the Diallo vs Mayot match.
On Polymarket, this market is priced through a continuous auction mechanism, where traders buy and sell shares representing their belief in the outcome of the Diallo vs Mayot match. The price of these shares directly reflects the implied probability of that outcome occurring. On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The more traders who believe an outcome is likely, the higher the share price will rise, and vice versa. This dynamic pricing ensures that the market reflects the most up-to-date collective assessment of the event's probability.
This market resolves around Oct 24, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the result of the Diallo vs Mayot match is verifiable from credible public reporting. The winner of the qualification match, as officially declared by the tournament organizers, will determine the outcome of this market. The platform will rely on widely available and trusted sources to verify the final result and settle the market accordingly. Traders should monitor official tournament updates for the most accurate information regarding the match’s completion.
Several factors could influence trading activity in this market before the Oct 24, 2026 resolution. Any news regarding player form, potential injuries to either Gabriel Diallo or Harold Mayot, or changes in playing conditions could all shift trader sentiment. Unexpected results in other matches leading up to this qualification round might also affect perceptions of each player’s chances. Furthermore, significant trading volume from informed participants could indicate new information or a change in expectations regarding the Diallo vs Mayot match.