TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.4b
24H VOL:
$290,393,159
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,640,614
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,944,100,805
420,493
Markets across
40,511
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,612
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 20, 9:17 AM EST
Polymarket
This market refers to the tennis match between Fabian Marozsan and Timofey Skatov in the Almaty Open, originally scheduled for October 19, 2026 at 2:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Fabian Marozsan' if Fabian Marozsan advances against Timofey Skatov. This market will resolve to 'Timofey Skatov' if Timofey Skatov advances against Fabian Marozsan. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by November 2, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the ATP Tour. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market refers to the tennis match between Fabian Marozsan and Timofey Skatov in the Almaty Open, originally scheduled for October 19, 2026 at 2:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Fabian Marozsan' if Fabian Marozsan advances against Timofey Skatov. This market will resolve to 'Timofey Skatov' if Timofey Skatov advances against Fabian Marozsan. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by November 2, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the ATP Tour. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Prediction market odds often reflect the collective wisdom of a diverse group of traders, potentially offering a different perspective than traditional sportsbooks. Sportsbooks set odds based on their own models and risk assessments, while this market aggregates the views of many individuals. It’s common to see discrepancies between the two, especially before significant events or when public opinion shifts. These differences can arise from varying levels of information, analytical approaches, or simply differing biases. Examining both can provide a more comprehensive understanding of the expected outcome.
On Polymarket, this market is priced through a continuous trading mechanism where participants buy and sell shares representing their belief in the outcome. The price of a share directly corresponds to the probability of that outcome occurring, as perceived by the market. On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. Traders adjust their positions based on new information, analysis, and their own risk tolerance, leading to dynamic price fluctuations. The market’s efficiency relies on active participation and the free flow of information among traders, creating a constantly updated assessment of the match’s potential results.
This market resolves around Oct 26, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. Resolution will be based on the official result of the Almaty Open tennis match between Fabian Marozsan and Timofey Skatov as declared by the tournament organizers. The market will determine which player won the match, and that result will be used to settle all outstanding shares. It’s important to note that the official tournament result is the sole determinant of the market’s outcome.
Several factors could influence the price of shares in this market leading up to Oct 26, 2026. Any news regarding player injuries, changes in playing conditions, or updated rankings could significantly impact market sentiment. Unexpected results in other matches involving either player could also shift perceptions of their form and ability. Furthermore, large trading volume from informed participants or significant media coverage could trigger price movements. Monitoring these signals will be crucial for understanding the evolving probabilities and potential opportunities within this market.