TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.4b
24H VOL:
$235,918,089
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,028,936
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,884,820,873
413,109
Markets across
40,428
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,364
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 23, 7:26 AM EST
Polymarket
This market refers to the tennis match between Daniil Medvedev and Terence Atmane in the Almaty Open, originally scheduled for October 23, 2026 at 5:30AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Daniil Medvedev' if Daniil Medvedev advances against Terence Atmane. This market will resolve to 'Terence Atmane' if Terence Atmane advances against Daniil Medvedev. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by November 6, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the ATP Tour. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market refers to the tennis match between Daniil Medvedev and Terence Atmane in the Almaty Open, originally scheduled for October 23, 2026 at 5:30AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Daniil Medvedev' if Daniil Medvedev advances against Terence Atmane. This market will resolve to 'Terence Atmane' if Terence Atmane advances against Daniil Medvedev. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by November 6, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the ATP Tour. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Prediction market odds often reflect the collective wisdom of a diverse group of bettors, potentially offering a different perspective than traditional sportsbooks. Sportsbook odds are typically set by a relatively small number of professional oddsmakers, while this market benefits from the insights of many individual traders. It’s common to see discrepancies between the two, especially before significant events or when there’s considerable uncertainty surrounding the outcome of the Almaty Open. Examining both can provide a more well-rounded view of the probabilities involved.
On Polymarket, this market is priced through a continuous auction mechanism, where traders buy and sell shares representing their belief in the probability of a particular outcome. As more traders buy shares in a specific outcome, the price of those shares increases, reflecting a higher perceived likelihood. On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The price movement is driven entirely by supply and demand within the market, and the current price effectively represents the market’s forecast for the match result between Daniil Medvedev and Terence Atmane. This dynamic pricing allows for real-time adjustments based on new information and changing sentiment.
This market resolves around Oct 30, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. Resolution will be based on the official result of the Almaty Open tennis match between Daniil Medvedev and Terence Atmane, as declared by the official tournament organizers. The market will determine which player won the match, and the outcome will be based on the official scoreline. Traders will then be able to claim their winnings based on the final result of this market.
Several factors could influence the trading activity and price movement in this market. Any news regarding player injuries, changes in playing conditions, or even significant shifts in public opinion could lead to adjustments in the odds. Unexpected performance in earlier rounds of the tournament, or even comments from analysts, could also impact trader sentiment. Furthermore, large trades by influential market participants could create short-term volatility. Monitoring these signals will be key to understanding how this market evolves leading up to the resolution date.