TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.4b
24H VOL:
$235,918,089
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,028,936
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,884,820,873
413,109
Markets across
40,428
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,364
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 19, 7:10 AM EST
Polymarket
This market refers to the tennis match between Adrian Mannarino and Aleksandar Vukic in the Almaty Open, originally scheduled for October 19, 2026 at 2:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Adrian Mannarino' if Adrian Mannarino advances against Aleksandar Vukic. This market will resolve to 'Aleksandar Vukic' if Aleksandar Vukic advances against Adrian Mannarino. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by November 2, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the ATP Tour. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market refers to the tennis match between Adrian Mannarino and Aleksandar Vukic in the Almaty Open, originally scheduled for October 19, 2026 at 2:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Adrian Mannarino' if Adrian Mannarino advances against Aleksandar Vukic. This market will resolve to 'Aleksandar Vukic' if Aleksandar Vukic advances against Adrian Mannarino. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by November 2, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the ATP Tour. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Often, prediction market odds offer a different perspective than traditional sportsbooks. Sportsbooks set lines to balance action and incorporate a profit margin, while this market reflects the collective wisdom of traders who are incentivized to be accurate. Discrepancies can arise due to differing information, biases, or simply varying interpretations of the players' form and potential. If significant differences exist, it may suggest that the market believes a sportsbook has mispriced the probability of a particular outcome in the Mannarino vs Vukic match.
On Polymarket, this market is priced through a continuous auction mechanism. Traders buy and sell shares representing their belief in the likelihood of a specific outcome. As more shares are purchased for a particular outcome, its price increases, reflecting growing confidence. On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The price of a share directly corresponds to the implied probability of that outcome occurring. This dynamic pricing ensures that the market odds constantly adjust to incorporate new information and changing sentiment surrounding the Mannarino vs Vukic match.
This market resolves around Oct 26, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the result of the Mannarino vs Vukic match is verifiable from credible public reporting. Resolution will be based on the official result declared by the tournament organizers. The winning outcome in this market will correspond to the player who is officially declared the winner of the match. Traders will be able to claim their winnings once the resolution is finalized and the outcome is confirmed.
Several factors could influence the trading activity in this market before resolution. Any news regarding player injuries, changes in playing conditions, or updated match previews from respected tennis analysts could shift trader sentiment. Unexpected results in other matches involving these players, or even broader tournament upsets, might also impact the odds. Furthermore, large trades placed by influential traders on Polymarket could create short-term price movements, reflecting a sudden shift in market perception of the Mannarino vs Vukic match.