TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.6b
24H VOL:
$333,432,169
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,640,614
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,971,286,090
419,492
Markets across
40,634
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,654
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Nov 1, 12:41 PM EST
Kalshi
This event tracks the outcome of a professional women's soccer match between Alkmaar and PEC Zwolle. The result will be determined by the final score after the regular 90 minutes plus any added stoppage time, excluding extra time or penalty shootouts. The market will reflect whether Alkmaar wins, PEC Zwolle wins, or the game ends in a tie based on that timeframe.
The event resolves based on the result of the Alkmaar vs PEC Zwolle professional Eredivisie Vrouwen soccer match scheduled for November 1, 2026, after 90 minutes plus stoppage time. Three distinct outcomes are possible: Alkmaar win, PEC Zwolle win, or a tie. If the match concludes with either team winning within regular time (including stoppage time), the corresponding market resolves to Yes. Should the game end in a tie at that point, the Tie market resolves to Yes. In the event the match is cancelled or rescheduled to more than 48 hours beyond the original date, all markets will resolve to a fair price as determined by the platform. The rules explicitly exclude extra time and penalty shootout results from consideration.
Prediction market odds often differ from those offered by traditional sportsbooks, reflecting the wisdom of the crowd rather than the assessments of professional oddsmakers. Sportsbooks set initial lines to balance their risk, while this market allows anyone to express their belief about the outcome. This can lead to discrepancies, especially as new information emerges. Often, prediction markets are considered more accurate than sportsbook odds, particularly closer to the event, as they aggregate diverse perspectives. Examining these differences can reveal valuable insights into public perception and potential value opportunities.
On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous order book where traders buy and sell contracts representing different outcomes. The price of each contract reflects the market’s collective probability of that outcome occurring. As more traders buy a contract, its price increases, indicating a higher perceived chance of success. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The platform uses a decentralized mechanism, allowing anyone to participate and influence the price based on their own analysis and information. This dynamic pricing ensures that the market reflects the most up-to-date expectations.
This market resolves around Nov 1, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The final result of the Alkmaar vs Zwolle match, as reported by official sources, will determine the winning contract. The platform relies on publicly available data to ensure an objective and transparent resolution process. Traders should monitor official announcements to stay informed about the event's progress and the eventual outcome that will trigger settlement. This ensures a fair and reliable conclusion to this market.
Several factors could influence the price of this market before Nov 1, 2026. Unexpected news regarding player injuries, changes in team formations, or even weather conditions could all shift trader sentiment. Significant pre-match analysis from sports commentators or analysts could also impact the market. Furthermore, any major developments related to team morale or coaching decisions might cause fluctuations in the odds. Monitoring these signals and staying informed about the latest updates is crucial for anyone participating in this market.