TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.5b
24H VOL:
$271,200,656
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,640,614
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,922,627,141
420,368
Markets across
40,352
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,484
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Juventus wins by more than 1.5 goals
- Kalshi
Juventus wins by more than 1.5 goals - Kalshi
1W
News
Positive
Negative
Neutral
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Vol.
·
Resolves Nov 5, 2026
Time left: 02d:22h:52m
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This market assesses the potential margin of victory in an upcoming Europa League soccer match between Alkmaar and Juventus. It focuses on how many goals the winning team scores beyond their opponent, with different thresholds defining various outcomes. The event captures the competitive balance and scoring dynamics between the two teams over the course of the match.
The event evaluates different goal-differential scenarios in the Alkmaar vs Juventus Europa League match scheduled for November 5, 2026. Four distinct outcomes are defined based on the margin of victory, with specific thresholds of more than 1.5 or 2.5 goals for either team. The resolution occurs after 90 minutes plus stoppage time, explicitly excluding extra time or penalty shootouts. All outcomes are independent, meaning each market resolves separately based on its respective condition. Kalshi clarifies it holds no official affiliation with the governing league, and all trademarks remain property of their respective owners.
Prediction market odds often reflect the collective wisdom of a diverse group of traders, potentially differing from those set by sportsbooks. Sportsbooks establish lines based on statistical models and expert analysis, while this market aggregates insights from individuals with varying levels of knowledge and perspectives on the Alkmaar vs Juventus match. It’s common to see discrepancies, especially before significant events or when new information emerges, as traders react to news and adjust their positions. These differences can present opportunities for arbitrage.
On Kalshi, this market is priced using a continuous double auction. Traders buy and sell contracts representing their beliefs about the spread in the Alkmaar vs Juventus match. As more traders participate, the price of these contracts fluctuates, reflecting the evolving consensus. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The price represents the probability of a particular outcome being true, with higher prices indicating greater confidence. The market’s depth—the volume of contracts available at different price points—also provides insight into the strength of conviction among traders.
This market resolves around Nov 6, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the final spread in the Alkmaar vs Juventus match is verifiable from credible public reporting. The resolution will be based on the official result declared by the governing sports authority. Traders holding contracts corresponding to the correct spread will receive a payout, while those holding contracts on incorrect outcomes will forfeit their investment. The precise payout amount is determined by the final market price at resolution.
Several factors could influence trading in this market before Nov 6, 2026. Any news regarding injuries to key players on either Alkmaar or Juventus would likely cause significant movement. Changes in team form, tactical adjustments announced by the managers, or even weather forecasts for the match day could all impact trader sentiment. Unexpected announcements about player availability, or even significant shifts in public opinion based on pre-match analysis, could also lead to price fluctuations in this market.