TOTAL VOLUME:
$155.3b
24H VOL:
$358,270,487
24H TRANSACTIONS:
3,002,125,488
OPEN INTEREST:
$2,041,693,191
423,163
Markets across
39,982
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,387
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 15, 2:46 PM EST
Kalshi
This event tracks the outcome of a professional Europa League soccer match between Alkmaar and Be'er Sheva, focusing on the margin of victory for either team. The result depends on how many goals separate the winning team from the losing team at the end of regular time, excluding any extra time or penalty shootouts.
The event evaluates multiple possible outcomes of the Alkmaar vs Be'er Sheva Europa League match scheduled for October 15, 2026, each defined by a specific goal-differential threshold for either team to win by. All markets resolve based solely on the final score after 90 minutes plus any stoppage time, with no consideration given to extra time or penalty kicks. If Alkmaar wins by more than 2.5 goals, the first market resolves to Yes. If Alkmaar wins by more than 1.5 goals (but not exceeding 2.5), the second market resolves to Yes. Conversely, if Be'er Sheva wins by more than 1.5 goals, the third market resolves to Yes, and if their victory margin exceeds 2.5 goals, the fourth market resolves to Yes. Only one of these markets can be true per match, as they represent mutually exclusive outcome ranges. The rules clarify that Kalshi holds no official affiliation with the governing league, and all trademarks remain property of their respective owners.
Prediction market odds often reflect the wisdom of the crowd, potentially differing from those set by sportsbooks. Sportsbooks establish initial lines based on their analysis, aiming to balance betting action on both sides, while this market’s prices are driven by traders directly expressing their beliefs about the outcome. If a significant number of people believe a particular outcome is more likely than implied by sportsbook odds, the price in this market will adjust accordingly. This can result in opportunities for value betting, where you find discrepancies between the two.
This market resolves around Oct 15, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The resolution will be based on the final result of the Alkmaar vs Be'er Sheva match, specifically the spread. The final spread will be verified against credible public sources to determine which outcome corresponds to the actual result. Traders holding contracts on the correct outcome will receive a payout, while those holding contracts on the incorrect outcome will forfeit their investment.
Several factors could influence the price of this market leading up to Oct 15, 2026. Any news regarding player injuries, team form, or tactical changes could shift expectations and impact trading activity. Unexpected weather conditions or referee announcements might also play a role. Furthermore, significant betting activity itself can move the market, as large trades can influence the price. Monitoring these signals and staying informed about the latest developments surrounding the Alkmaar vs Be'er Sheva match is crucial for understanding potential price movements.