TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.4b
24H VOL:
$245,801,863
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,028,936
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,902,097,102
417,059
Markets across
40,178
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,415
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 10, 8:50 PM EST
Kalshi
The fight between Alice Pereira and Darya Zheleznyakova will be closely watched for who secures a victory in the first round through a knockout, technical knockout, submission, or disqualification.
Markets resolve to Yes if Alice Pereira or Darya Zheleznyakova wins by KO, TKO, Submission, or Disqualification in Rounds 1, 2, or 3. A technical decision is treated as a decision and does not count as a win in any round. The fight is part of UFC Fight Night: Allen vs. Duncan scheduled for Oct 10, 2026. Kalshi disclaims any affiliation with the governing league, and all trademarks belong to their respective owners.
Typically, prediction market odds reflect the wisdom of the crowd, often differing from initial sportsbook lines. Sportsbooks initially set odds based on their own analysis, which can be influenced by factors like public perception or biases. As more information becomes available and more people trade in this market, the odds tend to converge towards a more accurate probability. However, discrepancies can persist due to differing market participants and the incentives at play. It's common to see prediction markets react more quickly to new information than traditional sportsbooks.
This market resolves around Oct 11, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The resolution will be based on the official result of the Alice Pereira vs. Darya Zheleznyakova fight, including whether it concludes by decision, knockout, technical knockout, disqualification, or no contest. The official result will be sourced from reputable sports news outlets and fight records. Traders will then be paid out based on whether their chosen outcome matches the verified result.
Several factors could influence trading activity in this market before Oct 11, 2026. Any news regarding injuries to either fighter, changes in their training regimens, or even pre-fight press conference statements could shift market sentiment. Unexpected betting trends reported by sportsbooks could also impact trading. Furthermore, public opinion and analysis from fight experts could influence traders' decisions. Major shifts in volume, like a sudden increase in trading activity, often signal that new information or a change in perspective is driving the market.