What is the result of Alice Pereira vs. Darya Zheleznyakova?

On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous order book, meaning traders are constantly buying and selling contracts representing each possible outcome. The price of each contract reflects the market’s probability assessment of that outcome occurring. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. As more traders buy into a particular outcome, its price increases, and its implied probability rises. Conversely, selling pressure lowers the price and reduces the implied probability. This dynamic pricing mechanism ensures that the market reflects the most up-to-date information and collective intelligence of all participants.

This market resolves around Oct 11, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The resolution will be based on the officially recorded method of finish for the fight between Alice Pereira and Darya Zheleznyakova. The market will determine which outcome—KO, Submission, Decision, or Draw/No Contest—accurately reflects the official result. Traders will then be paid out based on the final outcome and their positions in the market.

Several factors could significantly impact this market. Any news regarding the fighters’ training, injuries, or changes to their fight strategies could shift trader sentiment. Public statements from either fighter or their coaches, as well as analysis from MMA experts, could also influence the market. Unexpected developments in the lead-up to the fight, such as weight-cutting issues or last-minute opponent changes, would likely cause substantial movement. Ultimately, any information that alters the perceived probability of each outcome has the potential to move this market.