TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.6b
24H VOL:
$323,326,361
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,640,614
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,969,435,260
419,363
Markets across
40,411
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,612
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 9, 9:04 PM EST
Kalshi
This market tracks whether the Alianza FC Valledupar versus Aguilas Doradas Rionegro professional Colombian Liga DIMAYOR soccer game will end in a tie after 90 minutes plus stoppage time. Currently, “Tie is the result” is trading at 66.0% on Kalshi, while “Aguilas Doradas Rionegro wins” is at 31.0%. The market will resolve based on the official result of the match as determined by the Liga DIMAYOR, and specifically whether a tie occurs within the standard playing time. Keep an eye on the kickoff of the match on October 9, 2026, as that will begin the window for resolution and determine whether the game ends in a draw.
The event resolves based on the result of the Alianza FC Valledupar vs Aguilas Doradas Rionegro professional Colombian Liga DIMAYOR soccer game scheduled for October 9, 2026, after 90 minutes plus stoppage time. If Alianza FC Valledupar wins, that specific market resolves to Yes. If Aguilas Doradas Rionegro wins, its corresponding market resolves to Yes. Should the game end in a tie after regular time, the 'Tie' market resolves to Yes. If the match is cancelled or rescheduled to more than 48 hours beyond the original date, all markets will resolve to a fair price as determined by the platform. Extra time and penalty shootouts do not affect the resolution, as only the result after 90 minutes plus stoppage time is considered.
Typically, prediction market odds reflect the wisdom of the crowd, often differing from initial sportsbook offerings. Sportsbooks set lines based on statistical models and expert analysis, while this market incorporates a broader range of information and opinions from traders. As more information becomes available – such as team news or weather forecasts – the odds on Kalshi may move closer to, or further away from, those found at traditional sportsbooks. It’s common to see discrepancies as traders react to news and adjust their positions.
On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous exchange where traders buy and sell contracts representing different outcomes. The price of a contract reflects the probability of that outcome occurring, as perceived by the market participants. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. Traders are incentivized to provide accurate predictions, as they profit from correctly anticipating the result. The more traders who believe a particular outcome is likely, the higher the price of its corresponding contract will climb, and vice versa. This dynamic pricing mechanism creates a real-time assessment of probabilities.
This market resolves around Oct 10, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The result will be based on the official result of the Alianza FC Valledupar versus Aguilas Doradas Rionegro match. The platform will rely on widely available and trusted sources to determine the winner or if the match ends in a draw. Traders holding contracts corresponding to the correct outcome will receive a payout, while those holding contracts on incorrect outcomes will not.
Several factors could significantly influence this market. Any news regarding key player injuries or suspensions for either Alianza FC Valledupar or Aguilas Doradas Rionegro would likely cause price movement. Changes in team form, such as a surprising win or loss in a recent match, could also shift the odds. Even external factors like weather conditions at the match venue or significant tactical adjustments announced by the coaches could impact trader sentiment and lead to fluctuations in the market price. Unexpected news related to team management or ownership could also play a role.