TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.4b
24H VOL:
$245,801,863
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,028,936
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,902,097,102
417,059
Markets across
40,178
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,415
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 18, 6:24 PM EST
Kalshi
Two Peruvian Liga 1 soccer teams, Alianza Atletico and Universitario, will face off in a match scheduled for October 18, 2026. The result is determined after 90 minutes of play plus stoppage time, with no consideration for extra time or penalty shootouts.
The market resolves based on the result of the Alianza Atletico vs Universitario professional Peru Liga 1 soccer game scheduled for October 18, 2026, after 90 minutes plus stoppage time. If Alianza Atletico wins, its market resolves to Yes; if Universitario wins, its market resolves to Yes; if the game ends in a tie, the Tie market resolves to Yes. If the game is cancelled or rescheduled to more than 48 hours away from the original date, all markets will resolve to a fair price. The markets cover only the regular time result, excluding extra time or penalties.
Prediction market odds often reflect the wisdom of the crowd, potentially differing from those set by sportsbooks. Sportsbooks typically set initial odds based on statistical models and expert analysis, while this market allows anyone to trade on their beliefs, leading to a dynamic price discovery process. If a significant number of traders believe a sportsbook has mispriced an outcome, they can take the opposite position in this market, driving the price towards what they perceive as the true probability. This can result in odds that are more accurate, or simply represent a different perspective on the event's likelihood.
On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous order book where traders buy and sell contracts representing different outcomes of the Alianza Atletico vs Universitario match. The price of each contract reflects the market's current expectation of that outcome's probability. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. Traders set the odds by placing bids and asks, and the market price fluctuates based on supply and demand. Higher volume generally indicates more confidence in the price, while significant price swings can signal new information or changing sentiment.
This market resolves around Oct 18, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The resolution will be based on the official result of the Alianza Atletico vs Universitario match, as reported by a recognized sports data provider. Traders holding contracts on the winning outcome will receive a payout, while those holding contracts on losing outcomes will not. The market’s resolution is independent of any pre-match predictions or analyses; it’s based solely on the final, verified result.
Several factors could influence trading activity in this market. News regarding player injuries, changes in team lineups, weather conditions, or even significant shifts in public opinion could all lead to price movements. Unexpected announcements about team strategies or coaching changes could also impact the market. Any information that alters the perceived probability of either team winning is likely to be reflected in the trading volume and price of contracts in this market, leading to dynamic adjustments until the Oct 18, 2026 resolution.