TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.3b
24H VOL:
$219,029,434
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,028,936
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,869,293,526
411,051
Markets across
40,408
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,377
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 28, 6:28 PM EST
Kalshi
This event tracks the outcome of a professional soccer match between Alianza Atletico and Deportivo Garcilaso in Peru's Liga 1 league. The result will be determined by the final score after the standard 90 minutes of play plus any stoppage time, excluding extra time or penalty shootouts. Participants can speculate on whether either team will win or if the match will end in a tie based on the official game result.
The event resolves based on the official result of the Alianza Atletico vs Deportivo Garcilaso Peru Liga 1 soccer match scheduled for October 28, 2026, after 90 minutes plus stoppage time and excluding extra time or penalties. A 'Yes' outcome applies to the specific market corresponding to the winning team or a tied result. If the match is cancelled or rescheduled to more than 48 hours beyond the original date, the market will resolve to a fair price following defined procedures. Kalshi explicitly states it holds no affiliation with the governing league, and all trademarks remain property of their respective owners.
Prediction market odds often reflect the wisdom of the crowd, potentially differing from those offered by traditional sportsbooks. Sportsbooks set their lines based on their own models and risk assessment, while this market is driven by individuals trading based on their own information and beliefs. If there's a significant discrepancy, it might indicate that the market believes the sportsbook is mispricing the probability of a particular outcome. It's also common to see prediction markets move more quickly to incorporate new information than sportsbooks, especially in response to breaking news or late-developing trends surrounding the Alianza Atletico vs Deportivo Garcilaso match.
On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous order book where traders buy and sell contracts representing different possible outcomes. The price of a contract reflects the market's assessment of the probability of that outcome occurring. As more traders buy contracts for a particular outcome, the price increases, and vice versa. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. This dynamic pricing mechanism means that the odds are constantly adjusting based on supply and demand, providing a real-time indication of market sentiment regarding the Alianza Atletico vs Deportivo Garcilaso match. Traders aim to profit by correctly predicting the outcome and trading accordingly.
This market resolves around Oct 28, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The resolution will be based on the official result of the Alianza Atletico vs Deportivo Garcilaso match, as reported by a recognized sports data provider. The platform will verify the final score and determine which outcome corresponds to the actual result. Traders who held contracts for the correct outcome will receive a payout, while those who bet on the incorrect outcome will forfeit their stake. The exact timing of the resolution may depend on the speed at which official results are released.
Several factors could influence trading activity in this market leading up to Oct 28, 2026. Any news regarding player injuries, suspensions, or changes in team lineups for either Alianza Atletico or Deportivo Garcilaso would likely have a significant impact. Unexpected weather conditions at the match venue could also shift the odds. Furthermore, any public statements from team coaches or key players, or even shifts in expert analysis, could sway market sentiment. Major upsets in other matches involving these teams, or changes in their overall league standings, could also contribute to price movements in this market.