TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.4b
24H VOL:
$230,589,906
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,028,936
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,885,293,300
410,482
Markets across
40,213
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,340
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Time left: 11d:22h:40m
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This group resolves based on the outcome of a soccer match between Algeria and Togo in the Africa Cup of Nations Qualifiers, scheduled for November 14, 2026. Markets ask whether Algeria will win, Togo will win, or the game will end in a draw. Resolution hinges on the result after 90 minutes plus stoppage time.
In the upcoming Africa Cup of Nations Qualifiers game between Algeria and Togo, originally scheduled for Saturday, November 14, 2026 at 2:00 PM ET (as of creation of the first market related to the event):
If Algeria wins the Algeria vs Togo professional AFCON Qualifiers soccer game originally scheduled for Nov 14, 2026 after 90 minutes plus stoppage time (does not include extra time or penalties), then the market resolves to Yes. If Togo wins the Algeria vs Togo professional AFCON Qualifiers soccer game originally scheduled for Nov 14, 2026 after 90 minutes plus stoppage time (does not include extra time or penalties), then the market resolves to Yes. If Tie is the result of the Algeria vs Togo professional AFCON Qualifiers soccer game originally scheduled for Nov 14, 2026 after 90 minutes plus stoppage time (does not include extra time or penalties), then the market resolves to Yes.
Prediction market odds, like those found in this market, often reflect the wisdom of the crowd, potentially differing from traditional sportsbook odds. Sportsbooks set lines based on their own models and to balance action, while prediction markets aggregate the views of many independent traders. This can lead to prediction markets being more accurate, especially when information is dispersed and not fully captured by sportsbook algorithms. However, sportsbooks may offer more competitive pricing due to their ability to absorb losses and operate on smaller margins. The difference between the two can also be influenced by market liquidity and public perception.
Prices on Polymarket and Kalshi for this market can diverge due to several factors. Polymarket and Kalshi can show different implied probabilities for the same outcome because of liquidity, fee structure, participant mix, and how each venue defines the contract. Each platform has its own user base, trading dynamics, and fee structure, all of which can influence price discovery. Differences in the volume traded on each platform – currently $0 overall – also contribute to price discrepancies. Furthermore, differing opinions and information available to traders on each platform can lead to varied assessments of the likelihood of each outcome. These factors create independent price signals, resulting in potentially different probabilities for the Algeria vs. Togo match across the two venues.
This market resolves around Nov 14, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The result of the Algeria vs. Togo match will be used to determine the winning outcome. The market will settle based on the official result declared by the governing sporting body, ensuring a transparent and objective resolution. Trading will cease prior to this date, and the final probabilities will reflect the market’s collective prediction leading up to the event’s conclusion.
Several signals could influence trading activity in this market before Nov 14, 2026. Any news regarding player injuries, team form, or changes in coaching staff for either Algeria or Togo could significantly shift probabilities. Unexpected weather conditions at the match location might also impact the outcome and, consequently, market prices. Major upsets in other qualifying matches or relevant international fixtures could also influence trader sentiment. Keep an eye on sports news and analysis, as these factors will likely drive movement in this market.