TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.3b
24H VOL:
$228,458,490
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,028,936
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,879,276,037
410,833
Markets across
40,345
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,363
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 6, 2:58 PM EST
Kalshi
This event tracks the outcome of an international friendly soccer match between Algeria and Niger, focusing on the margin of victory for either team. The result is determined solely by the final score after regular time, excluding any extra time or penalty shootouts.
The event evaluates multiple potential outcomes of the Algeria vs Niger professional international friendly soccer match scheduled for October 6, 2026. Resolution depends on the goal differential by which either team wins, after 90 minutes plus stoppage time—excluding extra time or penalties. Four distinct primary rules define specific winning margins: Algeria must win by more than 2.5 goals, Algeria must win by more than 1.5 goals, Niger must win by more than 1.5 goals, or Niger must win by more than 2.5 goals. Whichever condition is met first resolves the corresponding market to 'Yes.' All markets share a common secondary disclaimer stating that Kalshi is not affiliated with the governing league, and all trademarks remain property of their respective owners.
Typically, prediction market odds reflect the wisdom of the crowd, often differing from initial sportsbook lines which are set by oddsmakers. Sportsbooks may initially incorporate biases or react quickly to breaking news, whereas this market aggregates the views of many individual traders. Over time, prediction market prices tend to become more accurate as more information becomes available and more people participate. It's common to see this market converge toward what ultimately happens, though discrepancies can persist due to differing risk appetites and information access.
On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous order book where traders buy and sell contracts representing their beliefs about the outcome of the spread. The price of a contract reflects the probability of that outcome occurring, as perceived by the market participants. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. Traders set the odds by placing bids and asks, and the market price adjusts dynamically based on supply and demand. The goal is to accurately predict the final spread of the game, and the price movements reflect the evolving expectations of the trading community.
This market resolves around Oct 6, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The final spread of the Algeria vs Niger match, as officially recorded by sporting authorities, will determine the winning contracts. The resolution will be based on the official result of the game, ensuring a transparent and objective outcome. Traders will then be able to claim their winnings or adjust their strategies for future markets based on the verified result.
Several factors could influence the price of this market. Any news regarding injuries to key players on either team would likely cause significant movement. Changes in team form, coaching decisions, or even weather forecasts could also impact trader sentiment. Unexpected announcements about player availability or changes to the game schedule could also lead to price fluctuations. As the game approaches, increased media coverage and public discussion may also contribute to shifts in the market price, reflecting evolving expectations.