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Alex Volkanovski vs. Movsar Evloev: Round of Victory
kalshi

What is the result of Alex Volkanovski vs. Movsar Evloev?

Volume:
$386,019

Alex Volkanovski to win in Round 2

 - Kalshi

Alex Volkanovski to win in Round 2 - Kalshi

1W

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolved Oct 24, 2026

Closed: Oct 24, 5:09 PM EST

kalshi

Kalshi

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Join Kalshi and score $25 for your first trade.
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
kalshi

Alex Volkanovski to win in Round 2

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$41,860
N/A
N/A
$35,704
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Alex Volkanovski to win in Round 4

View
0%
4%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$55,177
N/A
N/A
$54,224
Settled
No
kalshi

Movsar Evloev to win in Round 4

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$54,534
N/A
N/A
$54,115
Settled
No
kalshi

Movsar Evloev to win in Round 5

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$41,269
N/A
N/A
$40,644
Settled
No
kalshi

Alex Volkanovski to win in Round 3

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$38,288
N/A
N/A
$37,960
Settled
No
kalshi

Alex Volkanovski to win in Round 5

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$35,489
N/A
N/A
$35,242
Settled
No
kalshi

Movsar Evloev to win in Round 1

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$29,713
N/A
N/A
$25,243
Settled
No
kalshi

Alex Volkanovski to win in Round 1

View
0%
6%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$29,260
N/A
N/A
$26,044
Settled
No
kalshi

Movsar Evloev to win in Round 3

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$26,531
N/A
N/A
$26,480
Settled
No
kalshi

Movsar Evloev to win in Round 2

View
0%
3%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$26,479
N/A
N/A
$24,442
Settled
No
kalshi

Decision / Draw / No Contest

View
0%
67%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$7,419
N/A
N/A
$6,611
Settled
No
Total markets: 11

Description

This market focuses on predicting whether a specific fighter will win via knockout, technical knockout, submission, or disqualification within a particular round of an upcoming mixed martial arts bout. Outcomes also include decisions, draws, or no contests across the full fight duration.

Kalshi

These markets resolve based on the method and round of victory in the Alex Volkanovski vs. Movsar Evloev fight scheduled for October 24, 2026. Markets for each fighter winning in Rounds 1 through 5 by KO, TKO, Submission, or Disqualification resolve to Yes if that specific condition is met. A market for Decision/Draw/No Contest resolves to Yes if either fighter wins by decision or the fight ends in a draw or no contest. Technical decisions are treated as decisions and do not count as round victories, ensuring they resolve only under the Decision/Draw/No Contest market. All markets are independent, meaning a single fight outcome can only resolve one market—either a specific round victory for one fighter or the Decision/Draw/No Contest outcome.

Frequently asked questions

Typically, prediction market odds reflect the wisdom of the crowd, often differing from initial sportsbook lines. Sportsbooks set odds based on their own analysis and to balance action on both sides, while this market aggregates the beliefs of many individual traders. If a significant number of people believe an outcome is more likely than sportsbooks suggest, the price will move accordingly. It’s common to see prediction markets outperform traditional sportsbooks, especially as more information becomes available and the event approaches. However, sportsbook odds can still provide a useful benchmark for comparison.

On Kalshi, this market is priced using a continuous double auction. Traders buy and sell contracts representing each possible outcome – in this case, which round Evloev might win. The price of each contract reflects the market's probability of that outcome occurring. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. As more traders participate, the prices adjust to reflect the collective assessment of the event's likelihood. This dynamic pricing mechanism allows the market to incorporate new information and changing sentiment quickly, providing a real-time estimate of potential outcomes.

This market resolves around Oct 24, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. Resolution will depend on the official result of the Volkanovski vs. Evloev fight, specifically determining if Movsar Evloev wins and, if so, in which round the victory occurs. The outcome will be based on the official fight record and any subsequent rulings from the relevant athletic commission. Traders will be paid out based on the final result and the contracts they hold.

Several factors could influence the price of this market. Any news regarding the fighters’ health, training, or potential injuries would likely cause movement. Significant shifts in public opinion, perhaps driven by expert analysis or social media discussion, could also impact trading activity. Unexpected announcements about fight logistics, such as a change in venue or rules, might also play a role. Finally, as the fight date approaches, increased media coverage and betting activity will generally lead to greater price fluctuations.