TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.4b
24H VOL:
$245,801,863
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,028,936
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,902,097,102
417,059
Markets across
40,178
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,415
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 3, 2:43 PM EST
Polymarket
In the upcoming National League game between Aldershot Town FC and Carlisle United FC, scheduled for October 3, 2026 at 10:00 AM ET: This market will resolve based on the final score of the Aldershot Town FC vs. Carlisle United FC match originally scheduled for October 3, 2026 at 10:00 AM ET, considering only the result at the end of 90 minutes of regulation plus stoppage time; extra time and penalty shoot-outs are excluded. If the actual score is not one of the explicitly listed outcomes, the market resolves to "Any Other Score." If the match is postponed, the market will remain open until it is completed; if it is canceled with no make-up game, the market resolves to "0-0." The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, data from Flashscore may be used; if Flashscore data is unavailable, data from Sofascore may be used; if neither is available, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead. All markets will settle based on the official final result as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. Revisions to officially declared final scores made after market resolution will not be accounted for in determining the outcome. If no acceptable data is available within 24 hours of the event's conclusion, this market will resolve 50-50, or to "Draw" where applicable.
In the upcoming National League game between Aldershot Town FC and Carlisle United FC, scheduled for October 3, 2026 at 10:00 AM ET: This market will resolve based on the final score of the Aldershot Town FC vs. Carlisle United FC match originally scheduled for October 3, 2026 at 10:00 AM ET, considering only the result at the end of 90 minutes of regulation plus stoppage time; extra time and penalty shoot-outs are excluded. If the actual score is not one of the explicitly listed outcomes, the market resolves to "Any Other Score." If the match is postponed, the market will remain open until it is completed; if it is canceled with no make-up game, the market resolves to "0-0." The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, data from Flashscore may be used; if Flashscore data is unavailable, data from Sofascore may be used; if neither is available, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead. All markets will settle based on the official final result as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. Revisions to officially declared final scores made after market resolution will not be accounted for in determining the outcome. If no acceptable data is available within 24 hours of the event's conclusion, this market will resolve 50-50, or to "Draw" where applicable.
Generally, prediction market odds often reflect a more accurate forecast than traditional sportsbook odds, as they aggregate the wisdom of the crowd. Sportsbooks set lines to balance action and ensure profit, while this market allows traders to freely express their beliefs about the outcome. If sportsbook odds significantly differ from those seen here, it could indicate a perceived mispricing opportunity. However, it's important to remember that both represent probabilities, and discrepancies can arise due to differing information or analytical approaches, and the inherent uncertainty of the event.
This market resolves around Oct 3, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The final score of the Aldershot Town FC vs. Carlisle United FC match, as officially recorded by a recognized sports data provider, will determine the winning outcome. The market will settle to 100% probability for the correct exact score and 0% for all other possibilities. Traders holding shares in the winning outcome will receive a payout based on the final market price at resolution.
Several factors could influence the price movement of this market. Any news regarding team injuries, suspensions, or changes in coaching staff for either Aldershot Town FC or Carlisle United FC could significantly shift probabilities. Unexpected weather conditions on match day, or even pre-match analysis from reputable football commentators, could also impact trader sentiment. Furthermore, any large-volume trades on Polymarket could indicate informed activity and cause a rapid price adjustment, as traders react to new information or perceived opportunities.